Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets – Breakdown and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets: NLCS – Game 3

The New York Mets are hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers today at Citi Field in Game 3 of the NLCS.

The Dodgers need to win on the road

The Los Angeles Dodgers finished the regular season on top of the NL West with a league-best 98-64 record, including 52-29 at home. The Dodgers have a 3.95 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.23 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Shohei Ohtani is the best player on the team with 197 hits, 134 runs, and 54 home runs.

Can the Mets really do it?

The New York Mets finished the regular season third in the NL East with an 89-73 record, including 46-35 at home. The Mets have a 3.95 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .313 on-base percentage, and 1.26 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 169 hits and 107 runs and Pete Alonso is on top with 34 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Mets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall, 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games, and 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against teams from the NL West. New York has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 8 games against the Dodgers, 5 of their last 6 games overall, and 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the NL West. The Dodgers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games overall, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against the Mets, 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road, and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on Wednesday.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Mets made this series very interesting with a 7-3 win in Game 2, and now they are going back with a chance to take full control. That game was already decided after two innings as the Mets took an early 6-0 lead. They will try to build on that one going with Luis Severino as a starter in Game 3. He is 11-7 for the season, with a 3.91 ERA, 161 K, 182 IP, and 1.24 WHIP. The Dodgers will bring out Walker Buehler, who is 1-6 for the season with a 5.38 ERA, 64 K, 75.1 IP, and 1.55 WHIP. Looking only at the pitchers, the Mets have a huge advantage, but the Dodgers will not go down just like that. After the first pair of games in LA went over, this will be a tight one, so we go with under 7.5 total runs.