Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Berrettini – Breakdown and Prediction

June 15, 2024

Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Berrettini: ATP Stuttgart – semifinal

Two Italian players will face each other in the semifinals of the ATP Stuttgart.

Lorenzo Musetti Profile

Lorenzo Musetti is 30th in the ATP rankings, and his career high was No. 15 in the world. The Italian is 20-17 for the season and 3-0 on grass.

He lost the opening set in the quarterfinals to Alexander Bublik but after he tied the match, the player from Kazakhstan retired which saw Musetti moving to the semifinals. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Dominic Koepfer and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Earlier this season, Musetti reached the finals at the Challengers in Turin and Cagliari but lost both of those.

This is his third appearance in Stuttgart, and he reached the quarterfinal for the second year in a row.

Matteo Berrettini Profile

The former world No. 6 Matteo Berrettini is currently 95th in the rankings. The Italian is 12-3 for the season and 3-0 on grass.

Berrettini is coming off a 6-4, 7-5 win over James Duckworth in the quarterfinals. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin.

This is only the fourth tournament for Berrettini this season, and he reached the final in two of them. In Phoenix, he lost to Nuno Borgues, and in Marrakech, he lost to Roberto Carballes Baena.

This is the fourth time for Berrettini to play in Stuttgart, and he won the title there in 2019 and 2022.

Head-to-Head Musetti leads 1-0

Musetti vs Berrettini 7-6, 6-2 (2022 Napoli Challenger, final)

Prediction and Conclusion

It will be interesting to see two Italians in the semifinals in Stuttgart. Berrettini is starting to look like what he used to be, and if he manages to stay healthy, he may be competitive at Wimbledon. Mussetti survived a couple of difficult matches in the draw and has a lot to win in this match. Musetti is in better shape after a solid Roland Garros performance, while Berrettini is still questionable after such a long break. The odds are completely in Berrettini’s favor, so we go with Musetti to overtake the +1.5-set spread.