Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons – Breakdown and Prediction

September 22, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons: Can the Falcons beat the odds again?

The Atlanta Falcons and the Kansas City Chiefs will face each other today at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Chiefs are off to a good start

The Kansas City Chiefs have another good start of the season winning the first pair of games on the schedule. They started with a dramatic 27-20 win over the Baltimore Ravens and escaped with a 26-25 win last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Chiefs came into the last quarter with a deficit but Harrison Butker turned things around with a field goal late in the game. Patrick Mahomes threw for 151 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

How good are the Falcons this year?

The Atlanta Falcons split the first two games of the season. They lost the opener, 18-10 at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers and last week, they shocked the Philadelphia Eagles with a 22-21 win on the road. Kirk Cousins made a great pass to Drake London for a 7-yard touchdown with 34 seconds left to give the Falcons the win.

Betting Trends

The Falcons are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games overall, 6-14 SU in their last 20 games played in September and 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played on Sunday. They are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 3. Atlanta has played under the total point line in 6 of their last 9 games overall, 8 of their last 9 games against teams from the AFC, and 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the AFC West, and has gone over in 5 of their last 6 games against the Chiefs. Kansas City is 8-0 SU in their last 8 games overall, 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Atlanta, 12-2 SU in their last 14 games on the road and 14-3 SU in their last 17 games against teams from the NFC. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against the Falcons, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the NFC South and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games played in Week 3. The Chiefs have played over the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and have stayed under in 13 of their last 20 games as favorites.

Prediction and Conclusion

The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs won the first two games of the season on the final play, and today we are visiting the Atlanta Falcons, who also won the last one on the final throw. Kirk Cousins gives a reason to the Falcons fans to believe that they can pull out another miracle tonight against the Chiefs, who have Patrick Mahomes doing what he does best. The Falcons’ defense has been very solid in the first two weeks being in the top 10 in the league in most of the defensive categories, but the Chiefs are still too good for them. Kansas City will step up in this game and make the difference early on, winning the game by covering the -3-point spread in the end.