Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul – Breakdown and Prediction

September 2, 2024

Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul: US Open – Round of 16

The world No. 1 Jannik Sinner will face Tommy Paul in the round of 16 of the US Open.

Jannik Sinner Profile

The world No. 1 Jannik Sinner is 53-5 for the season and 28-2 on a hard surface.

The Italian is coming off a 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 win over Christopher O’Connell in the third round of the tournament. Earlier last week, he defeated Alex Michelsen and Mackenzie McDonald.

In August, he won the title in Cincinnati defeating Frances Tiafoe in the final which was his fifth trophy of the season. Earlier this year he won his first Grand Slam at the Australian Open and the titles in Halle, Miami and Rotterdam.

This is his sixth appearance at the US Open and his best result was the quarterfinal in 2022.

Tommy Paul Profile

Tommy Paul is currently 14th in the ATP rankings, two spots lower than his career high. The 27-year-old is 38-14 for the season and 14-8 on hard surface.

Paul is coming off a 6-7, 6-3, 6-1, 7-6 win over Gabriel Diallo in the third round after beating Max Purcell and Lorenzo Sonego in the earlier stage of the tournament.

Paul won two titles this season lifting the trophy in Dallas and the Queen’s Club.

Last year, Paul had his best result at the US Open reaching the round of 16.

Head-to-Head Sinner leads 2-1

Sinner vs Paul 6-4, 6-4 (2023 ATP Toronto, semifinal)
Paul vs Sinner 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 (2022 ATP Eastbourne, round of 16)
Sinner vs Paul 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 (2022 ATP Madrid, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

With Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz out, Jannik Sinner is the main favorite to win the US Open, but if somehow Tommy Paul gets away with the victory in this match, then we will see a very interesting finish to the last Grand Slam of the year. Paul has a solid first week, but Sinner will be the first tough opponent. The Italian has reached the level when he can win matches even without pushing himself to the maximum, and even if Paul plays on top of his game, Sinner will win this one by covering the -1.5-set spread.