Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz – Breakdown and Prediction

Marek Janikowski/Icon Sport

Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz: ATP Masters Cup – Final

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will take on American Taylor Fritz in the final of the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin.

 

Jannik Sinner Profile

The world No. 1 Jannik Sinner is 74-6 for the season and a perfect 12-0 in indoor play.

The Italian is coming off a 6-1, 6-2 win over Casper Ruud in the semifinals of the tournament. In the group stage he defeated Daniil Medvedev, Taylor Fritz, and Alex de Minaur.

Sinner won 7 titles so far in the season including the Australian Open and the US Open. He also won the trophy in Shanghai, Cincinnati, Halle, Miami, and Rotterdam.

This is his third appearance in the final Masters tournament and last year he lost in the final to Novak Djokovic.

 

Taylor Fritz Profile

Taylor Fritz has the highest ranking of his career being No. 5 in the world. The American is 52-22 for the season and 4-3 in indoor play.

Fritz is coming off a 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 semifinal win over Alexander Zverev. In the group stage, he defeated Alex de Minaur and Daniil Medvedev and lost to Jannik Sinner.

Fritz won the titles in Eastbourne and Delray Beach this season.

This is his second appearance in the final Masters after losing in the semifinal to Novak Djokovic in 2022.

 

Head-to-Head Sinner leads 3-1

  • Sinner vs Fritz 6-4, 6-4 (Nitto ATP Finals, group stage)
  • Sinner vs Fritz 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 (2024 US Open, final)
  • Sinner vs Fritz 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 (2023 Indian Wells, quarterfinal)
  • Fritz vs Sinner 6-4, 6-3 (2021 Indian Wells, round of 16)

 

Prediction and Conclusion

For the second time this week and third time this season, Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz will be on opposite sides of the net. Sinner won both of the previous matches in 2024, including Taylor Fritz’s first Grand Slam final. Sinner has been absolutely dominant all week long, while Fritz had to play his best tennis to make it to the finals. Sinner is absolutely unbeatable at the moment, so we go with him to win and cover the -3.5-game spread.