Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz – Breakdown and Prediction

October 2, 2024

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz: ATP Beijing – Final

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the ATP Beijing.

Jannik Sinner Profile

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is 61-5 for the season and 36-2 on hard surface.

Sinner is coming off a 6-3, 7-6 win over Bu Yunchaokete in the semifinal. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Jir Lehecka, Roman Safiulin and Nicolas Jarry.

Sinner has won six titles this season including the majors at the Australian Open and the US Open. He also won the titles in Cincinnati, Halle, Miami and Rotterdam.

Last season, Sinner won the title in Beijing defeating Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6, 7-6.

Carlos Alcaraz Profile

Former world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz is currently third in the ATP rankings. The Spaniard is 48-9 for the season and 18-4 on hard surface.

Alcaraz is coming off a 7-5, 6-3 win over Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Karen Khachanov, Tallon Griekspoor and Giovanni Mpetshi-Perricard.

Alcaraz won the titles at the French Open, Wimbledon and Indian Wells this season.

Last year in Beijing, he lost to Jannik Sinner in the semifinal.

Head-to-Head Alcaraz leads 6-4

Alcaraz vs Sinner 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 (2024 French Open, semifinal)
Alcaraz vs Sinner 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 (2024 ATP Indian Wells, semifinal)
Sinner vs Alcaraz 7-6, 6-1 (2023 ATP Beijing, semifinal)
Sinner vs Alcaraz 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 (2023 ATP Miami, semifinal)
Alcaraz vs Sinner 7-6, 6-3 (2023 ATP Indian Wells, semifinal)
Alcaraz vs Sinner 6-3, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 (2022 US Open, quarterfinal)
Sinner vs Alcaraz 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 (2022 ATP Umag, final)
Sinner vs Alcaraz 6-1, 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 (2022 Wimbledon, round of 16)
Alcaraz vs Sinner 7-6, 7-5 (2021 ATP Paris Masters, second round)
Alcaraz vs Sinner 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 (2019 Challenger Alicante, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

The two best players of the new generation will face each other in the Beijing final. Jannik Sinner is in better shape, but Carlos Alcaraz is the one who won both head-to-head matches this season. The surface gives a certain advantage to the Italian, but Alcaraz will push hard. Details will make the difference in this one, and we believe that the Alcaraz movement will be the key factor and the Spaniard will win the title.