Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev – Breakdown and Prediction

August 17, 2024

Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev: ATP Cincinnati – Quarterfinal

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will face off Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinal of ATP Cincinnati.

Jannik Sinner Profile

The world No. 1 Jannik Sinner is 47-5 for the season and 22-2 on hard surface.

The Italian walked off in the round of 16 match as Jordan Thompson was forced to withdraw. Previously in the tournament, Sinner defeated Alex Michelsen 6-4, 7-5 in the second round.

Last week, Sinner lost 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 to Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinal in Montreal. That was his first match after losing to Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinal in Wimbledon in five sets.

Sinner won four titles this season including his first Grand Slam at the Australian Open. He also lift the trophies in Halle, Miami, and Rotterdam.

This is his fourth appearance in Cincinnati and has never made it past the round of 16.

Andrey Rublev Profile

Andrey Rublev is sixth in the ATP rankings, one spot lower than his career high. The Russian is 36-16 for the season and 21-7 on hard surface.

Rublev is coming off a 7-6, 6-1 win over Brandon Nakashima in the round of 16 after previously defeating Zhizhen Shang 6-4, 6-3.

Last week, he lost 6-2, 6-4 to Alexei Popyrin in the final in Montreal. Rublev won the titles in Hong Kong and Madrid this season.

His best result in Cincinnati was reaching the final in 2021 when he lost to Alexander Zverev.

Head-to-Head Sinner leads 5-3

Rublev vs Sinner 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 (2024 ATP Montreal, quarterfinal)
Sinner vs Rublev 6-4, 7-6, 6-3 (2024 Australian Open, quarterfinal)
Sinner vs Rublev 7-5, 7-6 (2023 ATP Vienna, semifinal)
Sinner vs Rublev 6-2, 6-4 (2023 ATP Miami, round of 16)
Rublev vs Sinner 1-6, 6-4, 2-0 (2022 French Open, round of 16)
Sinner vs Rublev 5-7, 6-1, 6-3 (2022 ATP Monte Carlo, round of 16)
Sinner vs Rublev 6-2, 7-6 (2021 ATP Barcelona, quarterfinal)
Rublev vs Sinner 2-1 (2022 ATP Vienna, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

This will be the third match between these two players this season and the third in the quarterfinals. Both of them won one of those, with Sinner winning on his way to the first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and Rublev winning last week in Montreal. Sinner is still picking up his form after a short break that forced him to miss the Olympics, and Rublev, as usual, has many ups and downs. At the end of the day, Sinner is a much better player, and there is no way he could lose twice in two weeks to Rublev. The Italian will have full control of the match and win in straight sets.