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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev – Breakdown and Prediction

Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev: ATP Cincinnati – Semifinal

World No. 1 Jannik Sinner will face off Alexander Zverev in the semifinal of ATP Cincinnati.

 

Jannik Sinner Profile

The world No. 1 Jannik Sinner is 48-5 for the season and 23-2 on hard surface.

He is coming off a 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 win over Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals. The Italian walked off in the round of 16 match as Jordan Thompson was forced to withdraw. Previously in the tournament, Sinner defeated Alex Michelsen 6-4, 7-5 in the second round.

Last week, Sinner lost 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 to Rublev in the quarterfinal in Montreal. That was his first match after losing to Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinal in Wimbledon in five sets.

Sinner won four titles this season including his first Grand Slam at the Australian Open. He also lift the trophies in Halle, Miami, and Rotterdam.

This is his fourth appearance in Cincinnati and has never made it past the round of 16.

 

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is currently fourth in the ATP rankings while his career high was No. 2. The German is 52-15 for the season and 23-7 on hard.

Zverev is coming off a 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 win over Ben Shelton in the quarterfinals. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Pablo Carreno Busta and Karen Khachanov.

Last week, he lost to Sebastian Korda in the quarterfinal in Montreal. The week before, Zverev reached the quarterfinals of the Olympics where he lost to Lorenzo Musetti.

Zverev won the title in Rome earlier this season and lost in the finals at the French Open and Hamburg.

He won the title in Cincinnati in 2021 defeating Andrey Rublev in the final.

 

Head-to-Head Zverev leads 4-1

  • Zverev vs Sinner 6-4, 3-6, 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 (2023 US Open, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs Sinner 5-7, 6-3, 7-6 (2022 ATP Monte Carlo, quarterfinals)
  • Zverev vs Sinner 6-4, 6-4, 7-6 (2021 US Open, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs Sinner 7-6, 6-3 (2020 ATP Cologne, semifinal)
  • Sinner vs Zverev 6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 (2020 French Open, round of 16)

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both Sinner and Zverev faced real challenges in the quarterfinals and had to turn things around after dropping the first set. It’s been quite a while since their last match, and history says that Zverev won their last four head-to-head matches. It is hard to bet against world No. 1, a spot that belongs to Sinner at the moment, but it is visible that he is still not at his top level after a minor injury. This is a huge chance for Zverev, and we are going with him today despite the fact that the odds go in Sinner’s favor.

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