Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills – Breakdown and Prediction

September 23, 2024

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills: The Bills are major favorites tonight

The Buffalo Bills and the Jacksonville Jaguars will face each other on Monday Night at Highmark Stadium.

The Jags are off to a difficult start

The Jacksonville Jaguars showed a lot of improvement last season, but they are already in a difficult situation after only two weeks in the new season. They started with a 20-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins in the opener and then lost 18-13 to the Cleveland Browns at home in Week 2. The Jags had a chance to win the game on the last possession but failed to score. Trevor Lawrence completed 14 of 30 passes for 220 yards as the Jaguars lost for the seventh time in their last eight games.

The Bills look like a real conteder

The Buffalo Bills have a promising start of the season winning the first pair of games. They started with a 34-28 win over the Arizona Cardinals even though they had a double-digit deficit in that one. Last week, the Bills had no problems against the Miami Dolphins winning 31-10 on the road. Josh Allen completed 13 of 19 passes for 139 yards.

Betting Trends

The Bills are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games overall, 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games and 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the AFC. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams from the AFC South and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in September. Buffalo has played over the total point line in 5 of their last 7 games overall, 6 of their last 9 games against Jacksonville and 5 of their last 6 home games against them while has stayed under in 4 of their last 6 games in Week 3. The Jaguars are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games overall, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against the Bills, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road and 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AFC. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against the Bills and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 3. Jacksonville has played under the total point line in 5 of their last 6 games overall and 6 of their last 8 games against teams from the AFC East.

Prediction and Conclusion

The four-time defending AFC East champion Buffalo Bills have an excellent start of the season and are coming off an impressive road win against one of their biggest rivals. Tonight, they are going for the third consecutive win of the season against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are still searching for their first win. The frustration has already sunk in with Trevor Lawrence and his team, and they will have to step up in this one. The Jags won the last two games against the Bills, including a 25-20 win last season in Buffalo. They definitely have a chance in this one, so we go with the Jaguars to cover the +6.5-point spread.