Jack Draper vs Alex de Minaur – Breakdown and Prediction

Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Jack Draper vs Alex de Minaur: US Open – Quarterfinal

Jack Draper and Alex de Minaur will play for a spot in their first ever Grand Slam semifinal when they meet in the quarterfinal of 16 of the US Open.

 

Jack Draper Profile

Jack Draper has the highest ranking in his career being No. 25 in the world. The Brit is 29-17 for the season and 16-8 on hard surface.

Draper is coming off a 6-3, 6-1, 6-2 win over Tomas Machac in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Botic Van Den Zandschulp, Facundo Diaz Acosta and Zhizhen Zhang also in straight sets.

Draper won the title in Stuttgart this season and lost the final in Adelaide.

This is the second year in a row for him to reach the round if 16 in New York after he lost to Andrey Rublev in 2023.

 

Alex de Minaur Profile

Alex de Minaur is tenth in the ATP rankings, four spots lower than his career high. The Australian is 40-12 for the season and 19-5 on hard surface.

De Minaur is coming off a 6-0, 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 win over Jordan Thompson in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, de Minaur defeated Daniel Evans, Otto Virtanen and Marcos Giron.

De Minaur won the titles in Hertogenbosch and Acapulco this season.

This is his second quarterfinal at the US Open after he reached the same stage in 2020.

 

Head-to-Head De Minaur leads 3-0

  • De Minaur vs Draper 6-3, 2-6, 4-0 (2024 ATP Acapulco, semifinal)
  • De Minaur vs Draper 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 (2023 ATP Tokyo, first round)
  • De Minaur vs Draper 5-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-3 (2022 Wimbledon, second round)

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both players are on top of their game and hope to reach the first Grand Slam semifinal of their careers. De Minaur has been in the top 10 for a while now, and, by many, he is the fastest player on tour. Draper has been simply amazing so far in the tournament, winning all matches in straight sets without any drama. De Minaur is the more experienced one and has won all three of their previous head-to-head matches, but Draper is ready for a fight. Both players will steal the momentum at certain points of the match, so we go with over 39.5 games in total.