Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys – Breakdown and Prediction

May 2, 2024

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys: WTA Madrid – Semifinal

The world No. 1 Iga Swiatek will take on Madison Keys in the semifinal of the WTA Madrid.

Iga Swiatek Profile

Iga Swiatek is at the top of the WTA rankings. The Polish are 30-4 for the season and 6-1 on clay.

She is coming off a 4-6, 6-0, 6-2 win over Beatriz Haddad Maia in the quarterfinals. Earlier in the tournament, Swiatek defeated Sara Soribbes Tormo, Sorana Cirstea, and Xiyu Wang, all in straight sets.

Swiatek has won two titles already this season, in Indian Wells and Doha. This is her third appearance in Madrid, and last year she lost in the final to Aryna Sabalenka.

Madison Keys Profile

Madison Keys is 20th in the WTA rankings, and her career high was No. 7 in the world. The American is 7-3 for the season and 4-1 on clay.

She is coming off a 0-6, 7-5, 6-1 win over Ons Jabeur in the semifinals. Previously, Keys went past Coco Gauff, Ludmila Samsonova, and Irina Begu.

This is only the fourth tournament for Keys this year. She lost her first match in Charleston, made it to the third round in Miami, and reached the round of 16 in Indian Wells.

This is her tenth appearance in Madrid, and in the last five, she lost in the first round.

Head-to-Head – Swiatek leads 2-1

Keys vs Swiatek 6-3, 6-4 (2022 WTA Cincinnati, round of 16)
Swiatek vs Keys 6-1, 6-0 (2022 WTA Indian Wells, quarterfinal)
Swiatek vs Keys 7-5, 6-1 (2021 WTA Rome, second round)

Prediction and Conclusion

Iga Swiatek is still the best player in the world, and that is especially the case on clay. The world No. 1 is picking up the form as Roland Garros approaches and is the main favorite to win both in Madrid and in Paris. Madison Keys is having a great tournament, especially if we take into consideration that she lost her last five matches in Madrid before coming to the Spanish capital this year. She turned things around in the previous match after losing a set to love against Ins Jabeur. Keys really showed her character, but that will not be much of a help against Swiatek. The Polish is playing her game and dominating her opponents, which will take her to the final after a straight-set win over Keys.