Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff – Breakdown and Prediction

June 6, 2024

Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff: Roland Garros – Semifinal

The world No. 1 Iga Swiatek will take on Coco Gauff in the semifinal at Roland Garros.

Iga Swiatek Profile

Iga Swiatek is at the top of the WTA rankings and is going for her third straight French Open title. The Polish are 43-4 for the season and 19-1 on clay.

Swiatek is coming off a 6-0, 6-2 win over Marketa Vondrousova in the quarterfinals. Previously in the tournament, she defeated Anastasia Potapova, Marie Bouzkova, Naomi Osaka, and Leoila Jeanjean.

Swiatek has already won four titles this season in Rome, Madrid, Indian Wells, and Doha. She has won four Grand Slams so far: three at the French Open and one at the US Open.

Coco Gauff Profile

Coco Gauff is third in the WTA rankings, which is her career high. The American is 30-8 for the season and 12-3 on clay.

She is coming off a 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 win over Ons Jabeur in the quarterfinals. Previously in the tournament, she defeated Elisabetta Cocciaretto, Dayana Yastremska, Tamara Zidansek, and Julija Avdeeva, all in straight sets.

Gauff won the title this season in Auckland. Last year, she won her first Grand Slam at the US Open.

Head-to-Head – Swiatek leads 10-1

Swiatek vs Gauff 6-4, 6-3 (2024 WTA Rome, semifinal)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-0, 7-5 (2023 WTA Masters Cup)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-2, 6-3 (2023 WTA Beijing, semifinal)
Gauff vs Swiatek 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 (2023 WTA Cincinnati, semifinal)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-4, 6-2 (2023 Roland Garros, quarterfinal)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-4, 6-2 (2023 WTA Dubai, semifinal)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-3, 6-0 (2022 WTA Masters Cup)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-0, 6-3 (2022 WTA San Diego, quarterfinal)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-1, 6-3 (2022 Roland Garros, final)
Swiatek vs Gauff 6-3, 6-1 (2022 WTA Miami, round of 16)
Swiatek vs Gauff 7-6, 6-3 (2021 WTA Rome, semifinal)

Prediction and Conclusion

Iga Swiatek won the last two French Open editions, and she is the main favorite to do a three-peat. The world No. 1 saved a match point in the second round against Naomi Osaka and came back from being 5-2 down in the third set. She took her game to a completely different level after losing a total of two games in the last two matches. Swiatek has been dominating Gauff, winning 10 of their previous 11 matches. The odds are going in her favor, but the +5.5-game spread given to Gauff is something the Americans can and should cover.