Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Breakdown and Prediction

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Both AFC South rivals are coming off a loss

The Houston Texans are visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium on Sunday.

Are the Texans in jeopardy?

The Houston Texans are on top of the AFC South with a 7-5 record, including 3-3 on the road. They have lost 3 of the last 4 games and are coming off a 27-22 loss to the Tennessee Titans. CJ Stroud went 20 of 33 for 247 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Joe Mixon had 14 carries but for only 22 yards.

The Jaguars are sinking deeper

The Jacksonville Jaguars are at the bottom of the AFC South with a 2-9 record, including 2-3 at home. They have lost the last four games and are coming off a 52-6 loss to the Detroit Lions. Mac Jones was 17 of 29 for 138 yards and Travis Ettiene Jr. had 12 carries for 27 yards.

Betting Trends

The Jaguars are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games overall, 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games against Houston and 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AFC. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Jacksonville has played over the total point line in 6 of their last 7 games overall, 6 of their last 8 games against teams from the AFC South, 4 of their last 5 game splayed on Sunday and under in 4 of their last 5 games against Houston. The Texans are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games overall, 11-2 SU in their last 13 games agains the Jaguars, and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AFC South. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams from the AFC and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in December. Houston has played under the total point line in 7 of their last 8 games played in Week 13.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both AFC South rivals are struggling lately but are still in a completely different situation. The Texans were among the top teams in the league in the first half of the season, but after losing three of the past four games, their playoff berth is in jeopardy. They lost to the Tennessee Tiatans in the last one at home, and that was a huge blow for the team. CJ Stroud is not as good as in his rookie season, as he has thrown nine interceptions in 12 games after throwing only five as a rookie, and two of those came against the Titans. The Jaguars have been bad all year long and are coming into this one as losers of the last four. The last one was especially bad as they were blown out 52-6 to the Detroit Lions after losing the previous three by 13 points combined. Good news for them is the return of quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who missed the last couple of games. It is a huge question how ready he is at the moment, and with Stroud’s recent struggles, we do not expect much scoring. As four of the last five games between these two teams ended under, we go with under 43.5 points in total.