Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox: Both teams have high ambitions

The Houston Astros will try to keep their winning streak alive when they visit the Boston Red Sox today at Fenway Park.

 

The Astros are picking up the pace

The Houston Astros are on top of the AL West with a 60-55 record, including 28-29 on the road. They have won the last three games including an 8-4 win last night in Boston. The Astros have a 3.96 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .316 on-base percentage, and 1.29 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jose Altuve leads the team with 139 hits and 64 runs for the season, and Yordan Alvarez is on top with 22 home runs.

 

The Red Sox need to step up

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 61-53 record including 27-29 at home. After winning three consecutive games, they lost the last two. Boston has a 4.07 ERA, a .243 batting average, a .306 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team with 142 hits, and 79 runs while Rafael Devers leads the team with 25 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Houston and 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against teams from the AL West. Boston has played over the total run line in their last 7 games overall, in 7 of their last 8 games against Houston, in 6 of their last 7 home games, and in their last 5 games against teams from the AL. The Astros are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against the Red Sox, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road, and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when visiting Boston. Houston has played under the total run line in 5 of their last 7 games overall, in 10 of their last 15 games against teams from the AL, and in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the AL East.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Red Sox have a slightly better record than the Astros but are third in their division, while Houston tops theirs. The Astros won 8-4 last night at Fenway, which was their third consecutive win. They will try to keep the successful run alive with Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-10 for the season with a 5.33 ERA, 116 K, 98 IP, and 1.52 WHIP. The Red Sox will start Josh Winckowski, who is 2-1 for the season with a 3.44 ERA, 37 K, 49.2 IP, and 1.42 WHIP. The Astros have won the last four games against the Red Sox, all of them in Boston. It is about time for the Red Sox to end that streak, and we go with Boston winning tonight.

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