Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev – Breakdown and Prediction

July 7, 2024

Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev: Wimbledon – Round of 16

Two dark-horse candidates to win the title will face each other in the round of 16 at Wimbledon.

Grigor Dimitrov Profile

The former world No. 3 Grigor Dimitrov returned in the top 10 of the rankings for the first time after seven years. The Bulgarian is 32-10 for the season and 4-1 on grass.

Dimitrov is coming off a 6-3, 6-4, 6-3 win over Gael Monfils in the third round. Previously in the tournament, he won 5-7, 6-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 against Juncheng Shang and 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 against Dusan Lajovic.

Coming into Wimbledon, Dimitrov lost to Sebastian Korda in the second round of the Queen’s Club.

This year in Brisbane, Dimitrov won his first title since 2017 defeating Holger Rune in the final. He also reached the finals in Montpellier and Miami.

Dimitrov’s best result at Wimbledon is the semifinal in 2014.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev is currently fifth in the ATP rankings. The Russian is 31-9 for the season and 4-1 on grass.

Medvedev is coming off a 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 win over Jan-Lennard Struff in the third round. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Alexander Muller by 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 7-5, and Aleksander Kovacevic by 6-3, 6-4, 6-2.

Last week, Medvedev lost in the second week in Halle to Zhizheng Zhang.

Medvedev reached the final at the Australian Open this season but lost to Jannik Sinner despite being 2-0 up. He also lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the Indian Wells final.

Last year, Medvedev had his best result at Wimbledon, reaching the semifinals, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Head-to-Head Medvedev leads 7-3

Medvedev vs Dimitrov 6-4, 6-4 (2024 ATP Indian Wells, round of 16)
Dimitrov vs Medvedev 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 (2023 ATP Paris Masters, second round)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 (2023 ATP Vienna, round of 16)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 6-1, 6-2 (2023 ATP Rotterdam, semifinal)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 6-4, 6-2 (2022 ATP Vienna, semifinal)
Dimitrov vs Medvedev 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 (2021 ATP Indian Wells, round of 16)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 6-3, 6-3 (2021 ATP Cincinnati, round of 16)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 (2019 US Open, semifinal)
Medvedev vs Dimitrov 6-4, 6-2 (2017 ATP Washington, round of 16)
Dimitrov vs Medvedev 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 (2017 ATP Queen’s, quarterfinal)

Prediction and Conclusion

Both Dimitrov and Medvedev are having a solid week at Wimbledon. They enjoy playing on grass, and Dimitrov is back in his full form after years of struggling. Medvedev has been pretty dominant in their previous head-to-head matches, but the Bulgarian will have a chance in this match. They are both ready to win, but neither of them would be able to do that in straight sets, so this is one of those matches that will routinely go over 39.5 games in total.