Georgia vs Florida State – Breakdown and Prediction

John Mersits CSM Sipa USA Photo by Icon Sport

Georgia vs Florida State: Capital One Orange Bowl

Two teams that finished just out of the playoffs will round up in the Capital One Orange Bowl as Georgia will go against Florida State at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, on Saturday.

Georgia regular season breakdown

The Georgia Bulldogs finished first in the SEC East with a 12-1 record. They won the first 11 games of the season before losing 27-24 to Alabama in the SEC championship game. Georgia is 8th in the country with 482.8 yards per game, and they are 7th with 7.1 yards per play. Defensively, the Bulldogs are 10th in the country, allowing 295.2 yards per game, and 6th with 10.3 yards per completion.

Florida State regular season breakdown

The Florida State Seminoles finished on top of the ACC with a perfect 13-0 season. They are coming off a 16-6 win over Louisville in the ACC championship game. Florida State is ranked 46th in the country with 416.2 yards per game, and they are 39th with 4.7 yards per rush. On the defensive end, the Seminoles are on top of the league, allowing only 46.8% pass completion. They are second, allowing a QB rating of 96.5 and 8th allowing 170.5 passing yards per game.

Betting Trends

Georgia has played under the total point line in 7 of 13 games this season, including 4 of the last 5 games. Florida State has played under the total point line in 6 of 13 games this season, including 4 of the last 5 games.

Player to watch

With so many players leaving for the NFL or entering the draft portal, Florida State will have to turn to freshman QB Brock Glenn. He made a total of four appearances this season, completing 10 of 25 passing attempts for a total of 90 passing yards.

Injury Report

TE Brock Bowers, LB E.J. Lightsey, LB Jamon Dumas-Johnson, and RB Branson Robinson are out for Georgia. WR Destyn Hill, RB Lawrance Toafili, and QB Tate Rodemaker are out for Florida State.

Prediction and Conclusion

If there is a game that is tough to predict, this is it. Georgia has 12 players either going for the NFL or in the draft portal, and when it comes to Florida State, that number is even harder to count. The Bulldogs are a 16.5-point favorite to win this one, and the total point line has dropped to 44.5 from 55.5 just a week ago. With both teams having to find the right lineup for this game, scoring will not go as smoothly as we’re used to when watching these two teams. Both teams will have quarterbacks who barely saw any playing time during the season, so there will not be much connection to take this game over the given point line.

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