Dominic Thiem vs Juan Pablo Varillas – Breakdown and Prediction

July 15, 2024

Dominic Thiem vs Juan Pablo Varillas: ATP Gstaad – First round

The former ATP Gstaad champion Dominic Thiem will take on Juan Pablo Varillas in the first round of the tournament.

Dominic Thiem Profile

The former world No. 3, Dominic Thiem, is currently 133rd in the rankings. The Austrian is 8-11 for the season and 4-7 on clay.

Thiem is back in action after losing in the opening round in Mallorca to Gael Monfils, 6-3, 7-6.

His best results of the season are reaching the round of 16 in Estoril and Zadar.

Theims won the title in Gstaad in 2015, and last year he reached the round of 16.

Juan Pablo Varillas Profile

Juan Pablo Varillas is 162nd in the rankings, and his career high was No. 60 in the world. The Peruvian is 19-20 for the season and 19-16 on clay.

Varillas defeated Jerome Kym and Clement Tabur to reach the main draw in Gstaad.

Last week, he lost to Daniel Elahi Galan in the second round of the Braunschweig Challenger.

Varillas’ best result this season was winning the Challenger in Santiago, where he beat Facundo Bagnis in the final.

This is his third appearance in Gstaad after reaching the quarterfinals in the previous two.

Head-to-Head Thiem leads 2-1

Thiem vs Varillas 6-3, 7-6 (2023 ATP Astana, first round)
Varillas vs Thiem 6-4, 6-4 (2023 ATP Buenos Aires, round of 16)
Thiem vs Varillas 6-4, 6-3 (2022 ATP Gstaad, quarterfinal)

Prediction and Conclusion

Dominic Thiem already announced that this is his last season on tour, and he is back at the place where he won the third title of his career. Thiem has been regular in Gstaad, which is one of his favorite tournaments. In the opening round, he will take on Juan Pablo Varillas, who is only two years younger than him, but it feels like the Peruvian has yet to reach his prime. Thiem will put up a fight, but it is clear that he is not on a competitive level, so we go with the Varillas to win this one.