Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

June 2, 2024

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox: Can Boston win three in a row?

The Boston Red Sox are hosting the Detroit Tigers to close out the four-game series today at Fenway Park.

Things are slipping out for the Tigers

The Detroit Tigers are fourth in the AL Central with a 28-30 record. After losing five and then winning four straight games, the Tigers have lost 3 of the last 4 and will get out of this series with a losing record. The Tigers have a 3.85 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .295 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Riley Greene is by far the best player on the Tigers leading the team with 51 hits, 38 runs, and 10 home runs for the season.

The Red Sox have a losing home record

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 30-29 record, and are 13-16 at home. They lost the last two series against the Brewers and the Orioles and now lead 2-1 against the Tigers. Boston has a 3.33 ERA, a. 229 batting average, a .292 on-base percentage, and 1.16 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 62 hits and 34 runs so far in the season. Tyler O’Neill is on top with 11 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Red Sox have won 12 of the last 14 games overall and 8 of the last 10 home games against the Tigers. They are 5-10 SU in the last 15 games against teams from the AL Central Division. Boston has played under the total run line in 5 of the last 7 games against Detroit and 13 of the last 17 home games while they have gone over in 4 of the last 6 games overall and 5 of the last 7 games against teams from the AL. Detroit is 4-2 SU in the last 6 games against teams from the AL East. They have played over the total run line in 5 of the last 6 games overall, 10 of the last 11 games on the road, and 9 of the last 12 games against teams from the AL.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Red Sox and the Tigers are closing out a four-game series today. The Tigers won the opening game 5-0, and the Red Sox won the next two, 7-3 and 6-3. Boston is coming into this one as a major favorite for multiple reasons. They have been dominating the Tigers, winning 8 of the last 10 at Fenway Park, and will have Brayan Bello on the mound. The 25-year-old is 6-2 for the season with a 4.18 ERA, 44 K, 47.1 IP, and 1.18 WHIP. There is still a lot of room for improvement for Bello, and this will be the game he does that. On the other side, Casey Mize will be pitching for the Tigers, who does not have a good season. Mize is 1-3 for the season with a 4.71 ERA, 34 K, 49.2 IP, and 1.43 WHIP. The Red Sox are 10.5 games behind the Yankees, and games like this can bring them closer, so they will take advantage of the opportunity and win their third straight game in the series.