Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Breakdown and Prediction

March 22, 2024

Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: ATP Miami Masters – Second round

In the second round of ATP Miami Masters, Denis Shapovalov will face off Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Denis Shapovalov Profile

Denis Shapovalov is currently 126th in the world, and not that long ago he was world No. 10. The Canadian is 5-7 for the season and 2-4 on hard surfaces.

He is coming off a 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 win over Luciano Darderi in the first round in Miami. Last week in Indian Wells, Shapovalov defeated Botic Van Den Zandschulp in the opener before losing to Lorenzo Musetti.

He has only one more main draw win this season and lost in the opening round in the other five tournaments he played.

This is his sixth appearance in Miami, and his best result was the 2019 semifinal when he lost to Roger Federer.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Profile

Stefanos Tsitsipas has fallen out of the top 10 and is now 11th in the world. The former World No. 3 is 11-5 for the season and 10-5 on hard surface.

Last week in Indian Wells, Tsitsipas lost 6-2, 6-4 to Jiri Lehecka after defeating Frances Tiafoe and Lucas Pouille.

Tsitsipas’ best result this season was the semifinal in Los Cabos where he lost to Casper Ruud and he also reached the round of 16 at the Australian Open.

This is his sixth appearance in Miami, and his best result was the 2021 quarterfinal when he lost to Hubert Hurkacz.

Head-to-Head Shapovalov leads 3-2

Tsitsipas vs Shapovalov 6-3, 6-2 (2023 ATP Barcelona, round of 16)
Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas 7-6, 7-6 (2020 ATP Cup)
Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (2019 Miami Masters, round of 16)
Tsitsipas vs Shapovalov 6-3, 6-4 (2018 Monte Carlo Masters, first round)
Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas 6-1, 6-3, 7-6 (2018 Australian Open, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

Both players are entering their prime and are hoping for a successful season. They have both faced downfalls recently, and Shapovalov is still out of the top 100 after missing significant time with injuries. Shapovalov is the one who has a better head-to-head record, and it is worth noting that he has won all three previous matches on hard surfaces. Given the odds and everything we have seen from these players, Tsitsipas is the favorite, but Shapovalov will make the match interesting, and it will go over 22.5 games in total.