Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner – Breakdown and Prediction

March 29, 2024

Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner: ATP Miami Masters – semifinal

In a rematch of the Australian Open final, Jannik Sinner will take on Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal of the ATP Miami Masters.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Daniil Medvedev is currently fourth in the ATP rankings and has an 18-3 record, with all the matches being played on hard surface.

The defending ATP Miami champion is coming off a 6-2, 7-6 quarterfinal win over Nicolas Jarry. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Dominic Koepfer, Cameron Norrie, and Marton Fucsovics, all in straight sets.

Medvedev has yet to win a title this year after losing the finals at the Australian Open and last week in Indian Wells.

Jannik Sinner Profile

Jannik Sinner is having the highest career-ranking, being third in the world. The Italian has a 22-1 record for the season. His only loss came last week in the Indian Wells semifinals, 6, 6-3, 6-2 against Carlos Alcaraz.

The Italian is coming off a 5-4, 6-2 quarterfinal win over Tomas Machac. Previously, he defeated Christopher O’Connell, Tallon Griekspoor and Andrea Vavassori.

Earlier in the season, Sinner won his first career Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and then won the title in Rotterdam.

This is his fourth appearance in Miami, and he lost in the finals in 2021 and last year.

Head-to-Head Medvedev leads 6-4

Sinner vs Medvedev 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 (2024 Australian Open, final)
Sinner vs Medvedev 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 (2023 ATP Masters Cup, semifinal)
Sinner vs Medvedev 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 (2023 ATP Vienna, final)
Sinner vs Medvedev 7-6, 7-6 (2023 ATP Beijing, final)
Medvedev vs Sinner 7-5, 6-3 (2023 ATP Miami, final)
Medvedev vs Sinner 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 (2023 ATP Rotterdam, final)
Medvedev vs Sinner 6-4, 6-2 (2022 ATP Vienna, quarterfinal)
Medvedev vs Sinner 6-0, 6-7, 7-6 (2021 ATP Masters Cup)
Medvedev vs Sinner 6-2, 6-4 (2021 ATP Marseille, quarterfinal)
Medvedev vs Sinner 1-6, 6-1, 6-2 (2020 ATP Marseille, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

This is probably the biggest tennis rivalry at the moment, as these two players have played in five finals in the last 14 months. Last year in Miami, Medvedev won in straight sets, but in January this year, Sinner won the Australian Open final, coming back from two sets down against Medvedev. Both players are having a great week, and Sinner is considered the favorite since he has won the last four matches against Medvedev. Still, the Russian is playing excellently this week and is ready for a fight. It is tough to predict the winner, but this match will most likely go into the decisive set, so we go with over 2.5 sets.