Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff – Breakdown and Prediction

July 5, 2024

Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Wimbledon – Third round

Two of the tallest players on tour will face each other in the third round of Wimbledon.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev is currently fifth in the ATP rankings. The Russian is 30-9 for the season and 3-1 on grass.

Medvedev is coming off a 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 7-5 win over Alexander Muller in the second round. In the opening match, he defeated Aleksander Vukic 6-3, 6-4, 6-2.

Last week, he lost in the second week in Halle to Zhizheng Zhang.

Medvedev reached the final at the Australian Open this season but lost to Jannik Sinner despite being 2-0 up. He also lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the Indian Wells final.

Last year, Medvedev had his best result at Wimbledon, reaching the semifinal, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Jan-Lennard Struff Profile

Jan-Lennard Struff is 41st in the ATP rankings, while his career high was No. 21 in the world. The German is 23-13 for the season and 6-1 on grass.

He is coming off a 5-7, 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 win over Zhizheng Zhang in the second round after beating Fabian Marozsan in the opening round, also in four sets.

Last week in Halle, Struff lost in the quarterfinal to Jannik Sinner 6-2, 6-7, 7-6.

Earlier this year, Struff won his first career title in Munich.

Struff has never made it past the third round at Wimbledon.

Head-to-Head Medvedev vs Struff

Medvedev vs Struff 6-4, 6-4 (2021 Davis Cup)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-4, 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 (2021 Wimbledon, first round)
Struff vs Medvedev 7-6, 6-3 (2021 ATP Halle, first round)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-3, 6-1 (2019 Diriyah Tennis Cup, quarterfinal)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-2, 6-1 (2019 ATP Cincinnati, round of 16)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 (2017, ATP Marseille, round of 16)
Struff vs Medvedev 7-6, 7-6 (2016 Mons Challenger, semifinal)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-4, 6-2 (2016 Orleans Challenger, first round)
Medvedev vs Struff 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 (2016 ATP Hamburg, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

After winning five titles last year, Danil Medvedev has yet to win his first in 2024. It is a fact that he is not playing his best tennis, but he is still one of the favorites to go deep at Wimbledon. Medvedev will face Jan-Lennard Struff, who can be dangerous on grass. The two know each other very well, as they have played in each phase of their careers. Struff managed to beat Medvedev on grass in Halle three years ago, meaning that he can be competitive on this surface. Both players have excellent serves and will start strong, so we go with over 10.5 games in the first set.