Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Breakdown and Prediction

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Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev: Australian Open – Semifinal

Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will face each other for the 20th in their career in the Australian Open semifinal on Thursday.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Daniil Medvedev is third in the ATP rankings. He is targeting his second Grand Slam title and the first one after winning the 2021 US Open. Medvedev has reached the final in Melbourne twice before, in 2021 and 2022.

Medvedev has a difficult road to get to the semifinals, needing five sets in the quarterfinal to beat Hubert Hurkacz 7-6, 2-6, 6-3, 5-7, 6-4. He needed four sets in the round of 16 against Nuno Borges, which followed a straight-sets win over Felix Auger-Aliassime. Medvedev was pushed to the edge in the second round, winning in five sets against Emil Ruusuvuori. In the opening round, he went past Terence Atmane after he retired.

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is sixth in the ATP rankings and has been as high as second place. This is his second semifinal in Melbourne after he reached the same stage in 2020, losing to Dominic Thiem.

Zverev stunned Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals, 6-1, 6-3, 6-7, 6-4. In the round of 16, Zverev defeated Cameron Norrie in the decisive tiebreak, and he went that far in the second round against Lucas Klein. Alex Michelsen was not a threat in the third round, as Zverev won in straight sets, and in the opener, he needed four sets to move past Dominic Koepfer.

Head-to-Head – Medvedev leads 12-7 – Last 5 matches:

  • Medvedev vs Zverev 7-6, 6-4 (2023 Masters Cup, group stage)
  • Medvedev vs Zverev 6-4, 6-3 (2023 Beijing, semifinal)
  • Zverev vs Medvedev 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 (2023 Cincinnati, round of 16)
  • Medvedev vs Zverev 6-2, 7-6 (2023 Rome, round of 16)
  • Medvedev vs Zverev 3-6, 7-5, 7-6 (2023 Mont Carlo, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

These two players know each other from a very early age and have played 19 times before, but never in a Grand Slam tournament. Zverev is coming off an impressive win over Carlos Alcaraz that no one saw coming, and he has a legit chance in this match. These two players met six times last year, and five of those matches went Medvedev’s way. There is no doubt that he is the better player and will get through to the final.

 

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