Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino – Breakdown and Prediction

September 28, 2024

Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino: ATP Beijing – Second round

Last year’s finalist Daniil Medvedev will take on Adrian Mannarino in the second round of the ATP Beijing.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev is currently fifth in the ATP rankings. The Russian is 40-16 for the season and 23-7 on hard surface.

Medvedev is coming off a 6-3, 6-4 win over Gael Monfils in the opening round of the tournament.

Medvedev has yet to win a title this season and he lost the finals at the Australian Open to Jannik Sinner and Indian Wells to Carlos Alcaraz.

Last year, Medvedev reached the final in Beijing but lost to Sinner in two tie-breaks.

Adrian Mannarino Profile

Adrian Mannarino is 44th in the ATP rankings and his career high was No. 17 in the world. The Frenchman is 14-27 for the season and 9-15 on hard surface.

Mannarino is coming off a 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 win over Lorenzo Sonego in the opener.

His best result this season was the semifinal in Dallas where he lost to Marcos Giron.

This is his first appearance in Beijing after 2016.

Head-to-Head Mannarino leads 4-3

Medvedev vs Mannarino 6-3, 6-3, 7-6 (2023 Wimbledon, second round)
Mannarino vs Medvedev 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 (2023 ATP Hertogenbosch, round of 16)
Medvedev vs Mannarino 7-5, 7-5 (2022 ATP Hertogenbosch, semifinal)
Medvedev vs Mannarino 6-2, 6-1 (2019 ATP Miami, semifinal)
Mannarino vs Medvedev 6-4, 6-3, 4-6, 5-7, 6-3 (2018 Wimbledon, third round)
Mannarino vs Medvedev 6-3, 6-1 (2017 ATP Montreal, first round)
Mannarino vs Medvedev 6-4, 6-2 (2016 ATP Hertogenbosch, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

Daniil Medvedev won five titles last season but has not taken any trophies home in 2024. The Russian is under huge pressure, and Beijing may be the place where he will turn the season around. Adrian Mannarino has a winning record against the Russians, but it is a fact that most of those wins came a long time ago. Medvedev will be very aggressive in this game and will not give any chance to Mannarino, which will see him go through with a win covering the -3.5-game spread.