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Dallas Wings vs Atlanta Dream – Breakdown and Prediction

Grace Hollars-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Dallas Wings vs Atlanta Dream: Both teams are coming off a loss

The Dallas Wings and the Atlanta Dream are looking for their second win of the season when they meet at Gateway Center Arena.


The Wings have high hopes this season

The Dallas Wings split the first two games of the season, both against the Chicago Sky. First, they won 87-79 and lost the second game, 83-74. The Wings are second in the league in grabbing 41 rebounds per game and are also second in shooting 87.9% from the free throw line. Arike Ogunbowale is having an amazing start to the season, averaging 30 points per game in the first two contests.


The Dream are having the home opener tonight

The Atlanta Dream also split the first two games of the season. They started with a 92-81 win over the Los Angeles Sparks and then lost 88-85 to the Phoenix Mercury. The Dream are the best three-point shooting team in the league with 45% from deep, and they are ranked second in field goal percentage with 45.9%. Rhyne Howard is the best player on the team, averaging 23 points and 6 rebounds per game.


Betting Trends

The Wings are 4-0 ATS in the last four games following a loss and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 7-3 ATS when playing on two days’ rest. The scoring trend for the Wings leans heavily towards the over, with the over hitting in 20 of their last 27 games, including 10-2 against Eastern Conference teams and 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. On the other hand, the Dream have a mixed ATS record, with a solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games but struggling at 4-10 ATS against Western Conference teams. They have a strong under trend, with under hitting in 19 of their last 27 games overall, 12-2 following an ATS loss, and 9-3 in their last 12 home games.


Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams split the first two games of the season, with the difference that the Wings played both games at home while the Dream played on the road. Now Dallas is starting a five-game road trip with a stop in Atlanta. Dallas has been dominating the Dream in recent years, winning the last six head-to-head games. Somehow, Atlanta is a –4.5-point favorite going into this one, and we are going with the Wings staying close enough to cover that spread.

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