Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz – Breakdown and Prediction

Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz: Can the Mavs finally beat somebody?

The Utah Jazz are hosting the Dallas Mavericks today at Delta Center.

 

The Mavericks are struggling at the start of the season

The Dallas Mavericks are 12th in the Western Conference with a 5-6 record, including 1-3 on the road. They have lost the last three games and are coming off a 120-117 loss to the Golden State Warriors. Dallas leads the team in steals with 7.5 per game and is ranked 14th scoring 114.4 points per game. Luka Doncic is the best player on the team averaging 28.5 points, 8.1 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game.

 

The Jazz are still winless at home

The Utah Jazz are at the bottom of the Western Conference with a 2-8 record, including 0-5 at home. They have split the last four games and are coming off a 120-112 loss to the Phoenix Suns. Utah is the worst defensive team in the league averaging 105.7 points per game on 42.7% shooting from the field. John Collins leads the team averaging 17.1 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

 

Betting Trends

The Jazz are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games overall, 0-5 SU in their last 5 home games and 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the Western Conference. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Southwest Division and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played on Thursday. Utah has played under the total point line in 6 of their last 9 games overall, 4 of their last 5 games against Dallas, 5 of their last 6 home games against them and 8 of their last 11 games played in November. The Mavericks are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall, 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Jazz, 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the Northwest Division. They are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against Utah, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games played on Thursday. Dallas has layed under the total point line in 11 of their last 16 games overall.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams are struggling in the first three weeks of the season, and if that was expected for the Utah Jazz, no one could have predicted that the Dallas Mavericks would be in the bottom third of the West. The Jazz needed seven games to win their first of the season and are still looking for their first win at home. The Mavericks have won 8 of the last 10 against the Jazz and simply cannot afford another loss at this moment. Luka Doncic will take control of the game from tipoff and lead the Mavericks to a win covering the -9.5-point spread.