Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings – Breakdown and Prediction

August 16, 2024

Connecticut Sun vs Dallas Wings: Can the Wings turn the season around?

The Dallas Wings are hosting the Connecticut Wings on Friday at College Park Center.

The Sun have split the last ten games

The Connecticut Sun are second in the Eastern Conference with an 18-6 record, including 8-3 on the road. They have lost two of the last three games and are coming off a 82-74 loss to New York Liberty. The Sun are the best defensive team in the league allowing 72.9 points per game on the least allowed field goal attempts per game. DeWanna Bonner leads the team with 16.7 points per game, while Brionna Jones has 13.3.

The Wings are the worst team in the league

The Dallas Wings are at the bottom of the Western Conference with a 6-19 record, including 4-7 at home. After losing three consecutive games, the Wings won 101-93 against the Indiana Fever in their last one which was only the second time this season for them to score over 100 points. Dallas is fifth in the league averaging 81.9 points per game and is fourth in the league shooting 44.5% from the field. Arike Ogunbowale is the best player on the team averaging 22.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Sun are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Connecticut has played under the total point line in 8 of their last 9 games against teams from the Western Conference, 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record and in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. The Wings are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing after three or more days of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Friday, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Eastern Conference and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has played over the total point line in their last 4 games against teams from the Western Conference, in 16 of their last 21 games following a win, in 15 of their last 20 games following a ATS win, 19 of their last 26 games playing after three or more days of rest, 19 of their last 26 home games and 37 of their last 51 games overall.

Prediction and Conclusion

These two teams have completely different seasons, as the Sun are one of the best teams in the East while the Wings are one of the worst in the entire league. However, the Wings are a much better team than these six wins on record show. They have won two of the last four against the Sun and will have a legit chance in this one. Dallas definitely used the break to practice and improve, and this game may be the turning point of their season. However, the Sun are still the better team and the favorites to win, so we go with the Wings to cover the +5.5-point spread.