Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees – Breakdown and Prediction

July 2, 2024

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Big time series for the Yankees

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees are starting a three-game series on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium.

Can the Reds save the season?

The Cincinnati Reds are fourth in the NL Central with a 39-45 record, including 19-22 on the road. They are coming off a 2-0 loss in St. Louis which split their series against the Cardinals. The Reds have a 3.86 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .308 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Elly De La Cruz is the best player on the team, leading with 79 hits, 54 runs, and 14 home runs.

The Yankees have dropped in the standings

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 54-32 record, including 24-14 on the road. They have lost 5 of the last 7 games and are coming off a 8-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees have a 3.55 ERA, a .225 batting average, a .307 on-base percentage, and 1.22 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Anthony Volpe leads the team with 93 hits, Juan Soto is on top with 69 runs while Aaron Judge leads the league with 31 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Yankees are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall, 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home against Cincinnati and 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL Central. New York has played over the total run line in their last 6 games overall, 4 of their last 5 home games and 6 of their last 7 games against teams from the NL. The Reds are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games overall and 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the AL East. Cincinnati has played under the total goal line in 14 of their last 20 games overall, in 7 of their last 9 games on the road and 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the AL.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Yankees are struggling lately, and after losing the series against the Braves, Orioles, and Mets, they have dropped from the top of the division. There is no doubt that the Yankees are still one of the top contenders to win the World Series this year but will have to step up immediately. The home series against the Reds seems like a perfect opportunity for the Yankees to recover. In order to do that, the Yankees will start Luis Gil tonight, who is 9-3 for the season with a 3.15 ERA, 99 K, 85.2 IP, and 1.12 WHIP. The Reds will match that up with Graham Ashcraft, who is 4-4 for the season with a 5-45 ERA, 52 K, 67.2 IP, and 1.49 WHIP. Regardless of how good the Reds would show up today, the Yankees are in a state of emergency and will win this one.