Chiefs vs Ravens – Breakdown and Prediction

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Chiefs vs Ravens: AFC Championship game

The Baltimore Ravens are hosting the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship game on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium.

A big challenge for the defending champions

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to their sixth consecutive AFC Championship game. They are coming off a tough 27-24 road win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional. Patrick Mahomes took care of business as usual, throwing for 215 yards. He finished sixth this season with 4,183 total yards. The Chiefs have won four straight games, including a 26-7 blowout win against the Miami Dolphins in the AFC Wild Card game. The Chiefs are ninth in the NFL with 354.8 yards per game and second in passing attempts per game with 36.8.

The Ravens were the best team this season

The Baltimore Ravens finished the 2023 season with a league-best 13-4 record. They are coming off a 34-10 win over the Houston Texans in the AFC Divisional, proving once again that they are for real this season. Lamar Jackson is having a fantastic year with 3,678 passing yards and 24 TDs and is expected to win his second MVP award after winning in 2019. The Ravens lead the league in scoring defense, allowing 16.5 points per game, in sacks with 60, and are tied for first place with 31 takeaways. Baltimore has scored at least 31 points in the last seven home games.

Betting Trends

Kansas City has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games and in 4 of the last 6 against AFC North division opponents. Baltimore has played under the total point line in 10 of their last 13 games played in January.

Prediction and Conclusion

The AFC Championship game could not be better than this. The Baltimore Ravens had the best record this season and will host their first AFC Championship game since 1971. Lamar Jackson has had an MVP season, and the Ravens have won 10 of the last 11 games since he started. However, Patrick Mahomes is 3-1 in the previous four matchups against Jackson. This will be his fourth AFC championship game, while Jackson will go in his first. Both teams have some of the best defenses in the league this season, and with the Super Bowl on the line, we will see limited scoring that will keep the game under 44.5 points.

 

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