Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Baez – Breakdown and Prediction

May 23, 2024

Casper Ruud vs Sebastian Baez: ATP Geneva – Quarterfinal

The two-time ATP Geneva champion Casper Ruud will take on Sebastian Baez in the quarterfinal.

Casper Ruud Profile

Casper Ruud is seventh in the ATP rankings, and his career high was No. 2 in the world. The Norwegian is 32-10 for the season and 14-4 on clay.

Ruud is coming off a 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 win over Sebastian Ofner in the round of 16.

Last week in Rome, he lost in the second round to Miomir Kecmanovic 0-6, 6-4, 6-4. He also faced an early exit in Madrid after losing 6-4, 7-5 to Felix Auger-Aliassime.

The month of April was much more successful for Ruud, as he played in back-to-back finals, both times against Stefanos Tsitsipas. He lost the first one in Monte Carlo and won the following week in Barcelona.

Ruud also made it to two finals earlier in the season but lost both times, in Acapulco to Alex de Minaur and in Los Cabos to Jordan Thompson.

Sebastian Baez Profile

Sebastian Baez is 20th in the ATP rankings, one spot lower than his career high. The Argentinian is 22-11 for the season and 18-6 on clay.

Baez is coming off a 6-3, 6-0 win over Roberto Carballes Baena in the round of 16 after previously defeating Sumit Nagal 7-6, 6-3.

Last week, he lost in the round of 16 to Hubert Hurkacz in Rome after winning the first set. In the Italian capital, Baez defeated Holger Rune and Dusan Lajovic.

Baez has already won two titles this season in Santiago and Rio de Janeiro.

This is his first appearance in Geneva.

Head-to-Head Ruud leads 2-0

Ruud vs Baez 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 (2023 ATP Hamburg, first round)
Ruud vs Baez 6-3, 6-0 (ATP Estoril, quarterfinal)

Prediction and Conclusion

Two clay court specialists who are among the top 20 players in the rankings will go against each other in the Geneva quarterfinal. Ruud is a two-time champion in Geneva, which makes him a major favorite in this one. Baez is one of the players who has made the biggest improvement in recent years, and he can beat anybody on a good day. It is questionable whether they will go all out in this match since Roland Garros is starting on Sunday, so we go with Baez to win at least one set.