Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul – Breakdown and Prediction

July 9, 2024

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul: Wimbledon – Quarterfinal

The defending Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz will take on Tommy Paul in the quarterfinal of the tournament.

Carlos Alcaraz Profile

Carlos Alcaraz is third in the ATP rankings, and it’s been a while since his short stint on top of it. The Spaniard is 31-6 for the season and 5-1 on grass.

Alcaraz is coming off a 6-3, 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 win over Ugo Humbert in the round of 16 match. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Frances Tiafoe, Aleksandar Vukic and qualifier Mark Lajal.

Going into Wimbledon, Alcaraz lost in the second round of the Queen’s Club Championship to Jack Draper.

Alcaraz won two titles this season. He won his third major at the French Open and also lifted the trophy in Indian Wells.

Last year, Alcaraz won the title in Wimbledon with an impressive win over Novak Djokovic in the final.

Tommy Paul Profile

Tommy Paul is 13th in the ATP rankings, one spot lower than his career high. The American is 31-10 for the season and 10-1 on grass.

Paul is coming off a 6-2, 7-6, 6-2 win over Roberto Bautista Agut in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, Paul defeated Alexander Bublik, Otto Virtanen and Pedro Martinez.

Right before Wimbledon, Paul won the title at the Queen’s Club which is his second of the year after winning in Dallas. He also lost the final in Delray Beach and reached the semis in Indian Wells and Rome.

This is his fifth appearance in Wimbledon and the first quarterfinal.

Head-to-Head Tied 2-2

Alcaraz vs Paul 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 (2023 ATP Cincinnati, round of 16)
Paul vs Alcaraz 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 (2023 ATP Toronto, quarterfinal)
Alcaraz vs Paul 6-4, 6-4 (2023 ATP Miami, round of 16)
Paul vs Alcaraz 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 (2022 ATP Montreal, second round)

Prediction and Conclusion

Carlos Alcaraz is the defending champion at Wimbledon and is coming after winning the French Open title. Things are not going that smoothly so far in the tournament, as he was pushed to the limits against Tiafoe and also had a tough job against Humbert. Paul has made his biggest success at Wimbledon by reaching the quarterfinal, and the highest-ranked American has a reason for optimism in this match. Paul has defeated Alcaraz twice before, so we go with him, covering the +5.5-game spread.