Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabian Marozsan – Breakdown and Prediction

March 12, 2024

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabian Marozsan: Indian Wells Masters – Rounds of 16

Carlos Alcaraz will have a chance to payback Fabian Maroszan for last year’s loss when the two meet in the Indian Wells round of 16.

Carlos Alcaraz Profile

Carlos Alcaraz is second in the ATP rankings. The defending Indian Wells champion is 9-3 for the season and 6-1 on hard surfaces.

The Spaniard is coming off a 6-2, 6-3 third-round win over Felix Auger-Aliassime. Previously, he defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7, 6-1, 6-0.

This is the first tournament for Alcaraz after he hurt his ankle in the opening round in Rio de Janeiro. His best result this season was the quarterfinal at the Australian Open, where he lost to Alexander Zverev. He also made it to the semis in Buenos Aires, losing to Nicolas Jarry.

Fabian Maroszan Profile

Fabian Marozsan is 58th in the ATP rankings, one spot lower than his career high. The Hungarian is 7-7 for the season and 7-5 on hard surface.

He is coming off a 6-2, 6-2 third round win over Thiago Seyboth Wild. In the previous round in Indian Wells, Marozsan defeated Nicolas Jarry and Juri Rodionov.

He had a difficult month in February winning only one match in Rotterdam, Doha and Dubai.

His best result of the season is the third round at the Australian Open where he lost to Taylor Fritz.

Head-to-Head Marozsan leads 1-0

Marozsan vs Alcaraz 6-3, 7-6 (2023 ATP Rome, third round)

Prediction and Conclusion

There are not many players who have a winning record against Alcaraz, and believe it or not, Marozsan is one of them. The Hungarian made a real sensation by beating Alcaraz last year in Rome on clay. Alcaraz is not in his best form yet since he is coming off an injury, but as a defending champion, he is the main favorite to win this year as well, especially after Novak Djokovic got eliminated. Marozsan has a solid game, with many things depending on his first serve. He played very well in the previous three rounds and fully deserved to go this deep in his first appearance in Indian Wells. There is no doubt that Alcaraz will win this one, but with the given spread of -5.5 games, we are going with Marozsan to cover it.