Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – Breakdown and Prediction

July 12, 2024

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev: Wimbledon – Semifinal

The defending Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz will take on Daniil Medvedev for a place in the final.

Carlos Alcaraz Profile

Carlos Alcaraz is third in the ATP rankings, and last year he reached the top for the first time in his career. The Spaniard is 32-6 for the season and 6-1 on grass.

Alcaraz is coming off a 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 win over Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Ugo Humbert, Frances Tiafoe, Aleksandar Vukic and qualifier Mark Lajal.

Going into Wimbledon, Alcaraz lost in the second round of the Queen’s Club Championship to Jack Draper.

Alcaraz won two titles this season. He won his third major at the French Open and also lifted the trophy in Indian Wells.

Last year, Alcaraz won the title in Wimbledon with an impressive win over Novak Djokovic in the final.

Daniil Medvedev Profile

Former world No. 1 Daniil Medvedev is currently fifth in the ATP rankings. The Russian is 33-9 for the season and 6-1 on grass.

Medvedev is coming off an impressive 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 in over Jannik Sinner. In the round of 16, he had an easy task as Grigor Dimitrov was forced to retire in the opening set. Earlier in the tournament, Dimitrov defeated Jan-Lennard Struff, Alexander Muller and Aleksander Kovacevic.

Last week, Medvedev lost in the second week in Halle to Zhizheng Zhang.

Medvedev reached the final at the Australian Open this season but lost to Jannik Sinner despite being 2-0 up. He also lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the Indian Wells final.

Last year, Medvedev had his best result at Wimbledon, reaching the semifinals, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Head-to-Head Alcaraz leads 4-2

Alcaraz vs Medvedev 7-6, 6-1 (2024 ATP Indian Wells, final)
Alcaraz vs Medvedev 6-4, 6-4 (2023 ATP Masters Cup)
Medvedev vs Alcaraz 7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 (2023 US Open, semifinal)
Alcaraz vs Medvedev 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 (2023 Wimbledon, semifinal)
Alcaraz vs Medvedev 6-3, 6-2 (2023 ATP Indian Wells, final)
Medvedev vs Alcaraz 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 (2021 Wimbledon, second round)

Prediction and Conclusion

These two players met in the semifinals last season as well, when Alcaraz won in straight sets on his road to the title. Medvedev got him back at the US Open, but the Spaniard has won both of their matches since then in straight sets. Medvedev proved that he is capable of doing big things by beating world No. 1 Jannik Sinner in the last match, and he will have a chance against Alcaraz on this surface. The Spaniard is playing well but has shown some vulnerability, so we go with both players winning a set in this one.