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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev – Breakdown and Prediction

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev: Australian Open – Quarterfinals

Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev will face each other in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open on Tuesday.

Carlos Alcaraz Profile

Carlos Alcaraz is second in the ATP standings and one of the top favorites to win the Australian Open. The 20-year-old has lost only a set in the previous four matches in Melbourne. He is coming off a 6-4, 6-4, 6-0 win over Miomir Kecmanovic. Previously, Juncheng Shang retired in the third round, Lorenzo Sonego managed to win a set in the second and Richard Gasquet had no chance in the opener.

This is the first time for the Spaniard to reach the quarterfinals in Melbourne after losing to Matteo Berrettini in the third round last year. Alcaraz won 6 titles in 2023, including Wimbledon, and finished the season with a 68-12 record.

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is sixth in the ATP rankings and had a tough road to make it to the quarterfinals. He needed the decisive tiebreak to beat Cameron Norrie in the round of 16. Alex Michelsen was no challenge in the third round, but Lukas Klein almost made an upset in the second, taking the match to the fifth-set tiebreak. Zverev defeated Dominik Koepfer in the opening round in four sets.

Zverev’s best result in Melbourne was the semifinal in 2020, when he lost to Dominic Thiem. Last season, Zverev won the trophies in Chengdu and Hamburg, finishing the season with a 56-27 record.

Head-to-Head – Zverev leads 4-3

  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 (2023 Masters Cup)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 (2023 US Open, quarterfinal)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-1, 6-2 (2023 Madrid, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-4, 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 (2022 French Open, quarterfinal)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-3, 6-1 (2022 Madrid, final)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3 (2021 Vienna, semifinal)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-3,6-1 (2021 Acapulco, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

Alcaraz and Zverev will play in their third quarterfinal in the last four Grand Slam tournaments. They split those two matches, and this is another one tough to predict. Alcaraz is the favorite given their current form and the amount of time both players spent on the court in the previous week. Still, Zverev leads the head-to-head matches against Alcaraz, meaning that he knows how to beat the Spaniard. The total game line is set at 36.5, which should easily be surpassed in this match.

 

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