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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev – Breakdown and Prediction

Charles Baus/Cal Sport Media/Sipa USA

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev: Roland Garros – final

Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev will fight for their first Roland Garros on Sunday at Phillip Chatrieer Stadium in Paris.


Carlos Alcaraz Profile

The former world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz is currently third in the ATP rankings. The Spaniard is 25-5 for the season and 11-3 on clay.

The 21-year-old is coming off a 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 win over Jannik Sinner in the semifinal. Previously in the tournament, Alcaraz defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Sebastian Korda, Jesper De Jong, and JJ Wolf.


Alcaraz has won one title so far in the season, defeating Daniil Medvedev in the final at Indian Wells. He also made it to the semifinals in Buenos Aires and the quarterfinals at the Australian Open, Miami, and Madrid.

This is his fifth appearance at the French Open, and the first final match.


Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is fourth in the ATP rankings, two spots lower than his career high. The German is 34-9 for the season and 19-6 on clay.

Zverev is coming off a 2-6, 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 semifinal win over Casper Ruud. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Alex de Minaur, Tallon Griekspoor, avid Goffin, and Rafael Nadal.

Zverev won the title in Rome the week before Roland Garros. He also reached the semifinals at the Australian Open, Los Cabos, and Miami.

Zverev made his debut at Roland Garros in 2015 and after losing in three consecutive semifinals, he finally made it to the title match.


Head-to-Head – Zverev leads 5-4

  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-3, 6-1 (2024 ATP Indian Wells, quarterfinal)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-1, 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 (2024 Australian Open, quarterfinal)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 (2023 ATP Masters Cup)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 (2023 US Open, quarterfinal)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-1, 6-2 (2023 ATP Madrid, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-4, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 (2022 French Open, quarterfinal)
  • Alcaraz vs Zverev 6-3, 6-1 (2022 ATP Madrid, final)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3 (2021 ATP Vienna, semifinal)
  • Zverev vs Alcaraz 6-3, 6-1 (2021 ATP Acapulco, first round)


Prediction and Conclusion

Both players had bumps on the road on their way to the final. Alcaraz was 2-1 down in the semis against Jannik Sinner, and Zverev also lost the opening set to Carlos Ruud. The German finally made it to the final at the French Open and has won two of the previous three Grand Slam matches against Alcaraz, including a quarterfinal at Roland Garros in 2022. Still, Alcaraz won the last one pretty easily in Indian Wells earlier this year and has won the only previous final between the two. This will be a match to remember as Zverev is fighting for his first Grand Slam title ever, and Alcaraz is seen as someone who will dominate in Paris in the years to come. Given the surface and the current form, Alcaraz is the one who will take the trophy home.

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