Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins – Breakdown and Prediction

September 12, 2024

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins: A tough game to open Week 2

The Miami Dolphins are hosting the Buffalo Bills in the Week 2 opener at Hard Rock Stadium on Thursday.

Is this the season for the Bills?

The Buffalo Bills started the season well winning 34-28 against the Arizona Cardinals in the season opener at home. They found themselves 17-3 down in the middle of the second quarter but did not panic and took control of the game. Josh Allen proved once again that he can lift the Bills when needed and finished the game with 232 passing yards.

The Dolphins are looking for a good start of the season

The Miami Dolphins are starting the season with back-to-back home games, and they are coming off a 20-17 win over the state rival, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags opened the game scoring two touchdowns and taking a 17-7 lead at halftime. The Dolphins defense got the job done in the second half, not allowing a single point, and they scored just enough to win the game. Tua Tagovailoa was impressive with 338 passing yards, and Tyreek Hill caught 130 yards.

Betting Trends

The Dolphins are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games, and 1-4 SU in their last 5 home games against the Bills. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teasm from the AFC and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams from the AFC East. Miami has played under the total point line in 13 of their last 19 games against Buffalo, 12 of their last 17 games played in September and 5 of their last 7 games of Week 2. The Bills are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games overall, 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against Miami, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when visiting Miami and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AFC. They are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games played in September. Buffalo has played over the total point line in 5 of their last 6 games overall and 6 of their last 9 games against teams from the AFC East while they have played under in 12 of their last 16 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both AFC East rivals started the season with comeback victories. The Dolphins were all over the headlines as Tyreek Hill was hangcaught right before the games. That incident echoed around the country, but Hill made it on time for the game and caught an 80-yard touchdown pass for the Dolphins. He and Tua Tagovailoa will have to be on top of their game against the Bills, who have won 13 of their last 15 visits to Miami. Bills QB Josh Allen is 11-2 against Miami with 41 touchdowns, so the Bills have their chance in this game. It will definitely be a tight game, so we go with the Bills to cover the +2.5-point spread.