Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Breakdown and Prediction

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Bowling Green Falcons vs Central Michigan Chippewas: Can the Chippewas beat the odds here?

The Central Michigan Chippewas are hosting the Bowling Green Falcons at Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI on Tuesday.

 

The Falcons are at .500

The Bowling Green Falcons are fourth in the MAC with a 4-4 record for the season and 3-1 in conference play. They have won 3 of the last 4 games and are coming off a 41-26 win over the Toledo Rockets. Connor Bazelak completed 17 of 27 passes for 171 yards and threw two touchdown passes. Bowling Green is 74th in the nation scoring 27.1 points per game and is ranked 83rd totaling 377.4 yards per game.

 

The Chippewas are struggling lately

The Central Michigan Chippewas are tenth in the MAC with a 3-5 record for the season and 1-3 in conference play. They have lost the last three games and are coming off a 46-7 loss to the Miami of Ohio Redhawks. Central Michigan led 7-3 in the second quarter and then allowed 43 unanswered points. Tyler Jefferson was 7 of 17 for the game with 62 yards. The Chippewas are 77th in the nation scoring 27 points per game and 88th allowing 373.9.

 

Betting Trends

The Chippewas are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall, 7-2 SU in their last 9 home games and 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games against Bowling Green. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in the East Division and 0-5 ATS in their last five games played in November. Central Michigan have played over the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, 7 of their last 8 games against teams from the MAC and 10 of their last 13 games played in Week 11. The Falcons are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against Central Michigan, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when visiting Central Michigan and 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the West Division. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Bowling Green has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 6 games overall and 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the MAC.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Bowling Green Falcons have split the first eight games of the season, and this game is some sort of crossroads, which will set the tone for the rest of the season. The Central Michigan Chippewas have no chance for anything significant this season and are in terrible form, losing the last three games by a large margin. Tyler Jefferson was their third starting quarterback for the season who had a terrible game last week, and the Chippewas simply have no one to turn to. Unlike them, the Falcons look confident, winning three of the last four games overall and five of the last six against the Chippewas. Bowling Green once again will have full control of the game and cover the -12.5-point spread.