Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees – Breakdown and Prediction

July 5, 2024

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees: The greatest rivalry in baseball

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees are starting a three-game series on Friday at Yankee Stadium.

The Red Sox are ready for this

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 47-39 record and 27-16 on the road. The have won the last four games and are coming into this one after sweeping the road series against the Miami Marlins. Boston has a 3.59 ERA, a .235 batting average, a .296 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team 102 hits, 59 runs, and 10 home runs. Rafael Devers leads the team with 18 home runs.

The Yankees are struggling lately

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 54-35 record, including 24-17 on the road. They have lost eight of the last ten games and are coming after being swept in a three-game series to the Cincinnati Reds. The Yankees have a 3.56 ERA, a .223 batting average, a .306 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Juan Soto leads the team with 91 hits and 70 runs while Aaron Judge leads the league with 32 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Yankees are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games overall, 1-7 SU in their last 8 home games and 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games against the Red Sox. New York has played over the total run line in 8 of their last 9 games, in 5 of the last 6 games against teams from the AL and 5 of their last 6 games against AL East. The Red Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against the Yankees and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Boston has played over the total run line in 8 of their last 9 games overall, 6 of their last 7 games against teams from the AL and 6 of their last 7 games against teams from the AL East.

Prediction and Conclusion

This weekend will bring us the biggest series in baseball, as the Red Sox are in New York. The current form of both teams makes this matchup even more interesting, as the Red Sox are coming off a four-game winning streak while the Yankees have the worst stretch of the season. The Yankees lost three straight home games to the Cincinnati Reds and will try to end the losing streak with Nestor Cortes on the mound. He is 4-7 for the season, with a 3.51 ERA, 98 K, 105 IP, and 1.10 WHIP. The Red Sox have a better pitcher ready for tonight, as Tanner Houck is 7-6 for the season with a 2.67 ERA, 105 K, 107.2 IP, and 1.02 WHIP. Given the odds and the state of emergency, the Yankees are the favorite in this one, but the Red Sox are in better form and will be able to cover the +1.5-run spread.