Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins – Breakdown and Prediction

July 23, 2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins: Can the Orioles stay on top of the AL?

The Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins are starting their three-game series tonight at LoanDepot Park.

The Orioles have a promising season

The Baltimore Orioles are on top of the AL East with a 60-39 record and 30-17 on the road. They are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Texas Rangers after winning the first two games of the series against the defending champions. The Orioles have a 3.68 ERA, a .226 batting average, a .296 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 113 hits, 81 runs and 28 home runs.

The Marlins are the worst team in the NL

The Miami Marlins are at the bottom of the NL East with a 35-65 record, including 20-33 at home. They are coming off splitting the four-game series against the New York Mets. Miami has a 4.55 ERA, a .251 batting average, a .328 on-base percentage, and 1.37 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan De La Cruz is the best player on the team, with 96 hits, 42 runs, and 17 home runs for the season.

Betting Trends

The Marlins are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games overall, 11-2 SU in their last 13 home games against the Orioles and 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AL. Miami has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 9 games overall, in 4 of their last 5 games against Baltimore and in 8 of their last 12 home games. The Orioles are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Miami and 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL. Baltimore has played over the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games on the road and has played under in 4 of their last 5 road games played on Tuesday.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Baltimore Orioles have had a promising season so far, and they have no plans of slowing things down. The All-Star break came at the right moment for the Orioles, who were struggling in the weeks before it. As the Yankees are getting closer in the division standings, the Orioles are going to Miami to face one of the worst things in the league. Albert Suarez will be the O’s starting pitcher tonight, who is 6-3 for the season with a 2.82 ERA, 55K, 70.1 IP, and 1.24 WHIP. Baltimore lost nine of their last 11 visits to Miami, but will make a statement tonight at the beginning of the series with a comfortable win.