Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers – Breakdown and Prediction

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers: The Tigers are under pressure

The Baltimore Orioles are visiting the Detroit Tigers tonight at Comerica Park.

 

The Orioles are sliding down

The Baltimore Orioles are second in the AL East with an 83-65 record and 41-32 on the road which puts them 3 games behind the New York Yankees. The Orioles have lost 5 of their last 6 games including the series opener in Detroit. The Orioles have a 3.94 ERA, a .237 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 163 hits, 111 runs while Anthony Santander is on top with 41 home runs.

 

Can the Mariners reach the playoffs?

The Detroit Tigers are fourth in the AL Central with a 76-72 record, including 38-35 at home. They have won 5 of the last 6 games including last night against the O’s. The Tigers have a 3.68 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .294 on-base percentage, and 1.17 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Matt Vierling is the best player on the team with 124 hits, and 72 runs, while Riley Greene leads the team with 21 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Tigers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games overall, 13-3 SU in their last 16 games against teams from the AL, and 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the AL East. Detroit has played under the total run line in 14 of their last 20 games against the Orioles, 10 of their last 13 home games against them and 12 of their last 15 home games overall. The Orioles are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games overall, 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against Detroit, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the AL and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL Central. Baltimore has played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 5 of their last 7 games on the road.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Detroit Tigers won last 1-0 against the Baltimore Orioles and now have an 11.4% chance of making it to the playoffs. That means that every single game is of high importance for them and will have to be almost perfect to get to their goal. On the other side, the Orioles are secured for the playoffs, but they certainly want to catch the Yankees at the top of the division. Baltimore is in some sort of crisis, losing 5 of their last 6 and will try to bounce back with Corbin Burnes on the mound. He is 13-8 for the season, with a 3.18 ERA, 157 K, 175.1 IP, and 1.15 WHIP. The Tigers will also go with one of their best pitchers tonight. Tarik Skubal is 16-4 for the season, with a 2.50 ERA, 214 K, 180 IP, and 0.94 WHIP. Just like last night, this will be a low-scoring game, so we go with under 8.5 total runs.

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