Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians – Breakdown and Prediction

August 1, 2024

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians: Can the Orioles stay on top of the AL?

The Baltimore Orioles are visiting the Cleveland Guardians today at Progressive Field.

The Orioles have a promising season

The Baltimore Orioles are on top of the AL East with a 65-44 record and 31-19 on the road. They have won 4 of the last 5 games and are coming off a 10-4 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles have a 3.79 ERA, a .231 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.22 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 121 hits, 88 runs and 28 home runs.

The Guardians have the best record in the entire league

The Cleveland Guardians are on top of the AL Central with a 65-42 record, including 33-15 at home. The Guardians have won the last three games and are coming off a 5-0 win over the Detroit Tigers. The Guardians have a 3.64 ERA, a .229 batting average, a .301 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jose Ramirez is the best player on the team with 114 hits, 77 runs and 23 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Guardians are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL and 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the AL East. Cleveland has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 7 games overall, 4 of their last 5 games against Baltimore, 5 of their last 7 home games and 4 of their last 5 home games against Baltimore. The Orioles are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against Cleveland, 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the AL and 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against teams from the AL Central.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have impressive seasons and are the top two teams in the AL. They have picked up their form after the All-Star break and are both the winners of four of their last five games. This will be their second series of the season, after the Guardians won 2-1 in the previous one on the road in late June. Five of the last six games between these two teams have not seen more than six runs in total, and with the total run line at 9.5, we are going with under again.