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Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders: Week 17 Preview, Predictions, and Betting Insights
The Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders square off in a critical Week 17 NFL matchup at Northwest Stadium. Both teams aim to solidify their playoff ambitions as the season nears its climax. In this comprehensive preview, we’ll delve into the key stats, betting trends, player performances, and expert predictions to give you an edge.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
The Atlanta Falcons enter this game with some momentum after securing wins against the Raiders and Giants. However, consistency has been a challenge, especially on the road.
- Quarterback Performance: Michael Penix Jr. has had a modest season, completing 65.6% of his passes for 240 yards, but he has yet to throw a touchdown while recording one interception.
- Offensive Weapons: Wide receivers Drake London and Darnell Mooney have been reliable, combining for 1,933 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. Bijan Robinson leads the ground attack with 1,196 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.
- Defense: The Falcons’ defense allows 23.3 points per game and 335.4 yards, with Kaden Elliss standing out with 131 tackles.
Key Betting Stat: Atlanta has lost its last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Commanders are riding high after wins against the Eagles and Saints and have excelled at home, winning six of their last eight games at Northwest Stadium.
- Quarterback Excellence: Jayden Daniels has been exceptional, completing 69.7% of his passes for 3,303 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions.
- Top Targets: Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,567 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Noah Brown contributes depth with 35 receptions.
- Running Game: Daniels is also a dual-threat, rushing for 737 yards and 6 touchdowns this season.
- Defense: The Commanders allow 23.2 points and 322.9 yards per game, with Bobby Wagner leading the way with 118 tackles and Dante Fowler Jr. recording 9.5 sacks.
Key Betting Stat: Washington has covered the spread in five of their last six games against the Falcons.
Why the Washington Commanders Will Win
- The Commanders have dominated NFC South opponents, winning six of their last seven games against the division.
- Terry McLaurin has been a December powerhouse, scoring in each of his last four games this month.
- Jayden Daniels’ ability to stretch defenses with both his arm and legs gives Washington a crucial edge.
Key Insight: Washington ranks first in the NFL in second-quarter opponent points per game (4.4), showcasing their ability to control games early.
Why the Atlanta Falcons Could Upset
- Bijan Robinson is a game-changer in the run game, averaging over 92 rushing yards in five of his last six games.
- Darnell Mooney thrives against NFC East defenses, averaging 68+ receiving yards in his last eight appearances.
- Atlanta’s defense must step up, especially against Washington’s dual-threat quarterback.
Key Insight: Atlanta has lost the first half in seven of their last eight December games as underdogs, highlighting a trend they’ll need to break to pull off an upset.
Prediction and Best Bets
The Commanders’ home-field advantage and Jayden Daniels’ stellar play make them the favorites heading into this matchup. Atlanta has struggled against quality opponents, particularly on the road.
Prediction: Washington Commanders 27, Atlanta Falcons 20
Best Bets:
- Spread: Commanders -6.5
- Player Prop: Terry McLaurin to score a touchdown (+110)
- Over/Under: Over 45 points
Insights
How does Jayden Daniels compare to other dual-threat QBs in the NFL?
Daniels’ ability to pass for over 3,000 yards while rushing for 700+ makes him one of the most versatile quarterbacks in the league.
Can Bijan Robinson carry the Falcons to a win?
Robinson’s consistency in the run game gives Atlanta a fighting chance. If he breaks loose for a big game, the Falcons could keep it close.
How important is this game for playoff positioning?
With both teams in the thick of the playoff race, this game carries significant implications, especially for wild-card tiebreakers.
By analyzing trends, betting odds, and player performances, this preview provides a well-rounded look at the Falcons vs. Commanders matchup. Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, these insights ensure you’re well-prepared for an exciting Week 17 showdown.
