Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty – Breakdown and Prediction

September 24, 2024

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Can the Dream take the series home?

The New York Liberty are hosting the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center on Tuesday.

The Dream hit the wall

The Atlanta Dream won the last three games of the regular season, to finish fourth in the Eastern Conference with a 15-25 record and to clinch the playoffs on the last day of the schedule. They are the worst offensive team in the league scoring 77 points per game on 40.6% shooting from the field. Rhyne Howard is the best player on the team averaging 17.4 points per game.

Is this the season for the Liberty?

The New York Liberty finished the regular season with the best record in the entire league of 32 wins and 8 losses. New York is the second-best offensive team in the league scoring 86.2 points per game while making a league-high 10.2 three-pointers per game. Breanna Stewart leads the team averaging 20.6 points per game, followed by Sabrina Ionescu who scores 18.6 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Dream are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing after a one-day rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on the road, and 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Atlanta has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games on the road, 15 of their last 21 games following a ATS win, 9 of their last 13 games playing after a one-day rest, 6 of their last 8 games against teams from the Eastern Conference and 9 of their last 14 games overall. The Liberty are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing after a one-day rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Eastern Conference, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. New York has played under the total point line in 6 of their last 8 games against teams from the Eastern Conference, 5 of their last 6 home games, 3 of their last 5 games played on Tuesday, 7 of their last 10 games following a win and 14 of their last 21 games overall.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Liberty have a chance to close out the series tonight with another win over the Atlanta Dream. New York won 83-69 in the first one, with Leonie Fiebich scoring a career-high 21 points. The Liberty made their first six field goals and had the lead for the entire game. The Dream had a poot-shooting night, being under 40% from the field and under 20% from the three-point line. They managed to beat the Liberty in New York in the last regular season game, which sent them to the playoffs, but that will be impossible tonight. The Liberty are just the better team and will win this one again by covering the -12.5-point spread.