Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever – Breakdown and Prediction

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever: Both teams are coming off a loss

The Indiana Fever will go for their only second home win of the season when they host the Atlanta Dream in Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday.

 

The Dream are coming off their worst game of the season

The Atlanta Dream are third in the Eastern Conference with a 5-5 record. They have lost three of the last four games and are coming off an 87-68 loss to the Washington Mystics, which is the first win of the season for the team from DC. The Dream are at the bottom of the league, shooting 40.2% from the field, and are ranked 11th, scoring 75.8 points per game. Allisha Gray leads the team, averaging 15.3 points per game, and Rhyne Howard is right behind her with 15.2.

 

The Fever are back home after a three-game road trip

The Indiana Fever are fifth in the Eastern Conference with a 3-10 record. They have lost two of the last three games and are coming off an 89-72 loss against the Connecticut Sun. Indiana is fourth in the league, shooting 33.4% from three-point territory, and is the worst defensive team in the WNBA, allowing 89.8 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field. Rookie Caitlin Clark is the best player on the team, averaging 16.3 points per game.

 

Betting Trends

The Dream are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games against teams with a losing record, 4-9 ATS in the last 13 games played after one day of rest, 4-11 ATS in the last 15 games on the road, and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games played on Thursday. Atlanta has played under the total point line in 13 of the last 16 games against teams from the Eastern Conference, 4 of the last 5 games played on Thursday, 12 of the last 15 games played after one day of rest, 15 of the last 19 games following a ATS loss, and 25 of the last 35 games overall. The Fever are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games against teams from the Eastern Conference, 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games following a ATS loss, 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 games played on Thursday, 1-6 ATS in the last 7 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 games against teams with a winning record. They have played over the total point line in 6 of their last 7 games overall, 5 of the last 6 games following an ATS loss, and 5 of the last 6 games against teams from the Eastern Conference.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Atlanta Dream broke apart in their final game against the Mystics and will have a lot to make up when they visit the Fever. Indiana needed time to win their first game of the season, but once they did that, they started playing way better. The Dream have won 7 of the last 10 head-to-head games, but Indiana has won two of the last three. The total point line is set at 162.5, and they have gone over this in 4 of their last 5 games and will most likely do that again today.