Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers – Breakdown and Prediction

July 29, 2024

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers: Both teams have a promising season

The Atlanta Braves are visiting the Milwaukee Brewers today in the opening game of the series at American Family Field.

The Braves are solid on the road

The Atlanta Braves are second in the NL East with a 56-48 record including 26-27 on the road. After losing six consecutive games, the Braves won back-to-back games against the New York Mets. The Braves have a 3.48 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Marcell Ozuna is the best player on the team, with 118 hits, 65 runs, and 30 home runs.

The Brewers are in the top three in the NL

The Milwaukee Brewers are on top of the NL Central with a 60-45 record, including 30-19 at home. The Brewers are coming off a 6-2 win over the Miami Marlins avoiding being swept in that series. The Brewers have a 3.75 ERA, a .237 batting average, a .309 on-base percentage, and 1.26 walks plus hits per inning pitched. William Contreras is the best player on the team with 117 hits, 66 runs, and 11 home runs so far in the season.

Betting Trends

The Brewers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games overall, 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the NL East and 3-12 in their last 15 games played on Monday. Milwaukee has played over the total run line in 5 of their last 7 games against Atlanta and in 4 of their last 5 home games while they have stayed under in 6 of their last 8 home games against Atlanta. The Braves are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against the Brewers, 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL Central and 5-11 SU in their last 16 games as underdogs. Atlanta has played under the total run line in 8 of their last 11 games played on Monday.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have promising seasons and are hoping to reach the playoffs. They both came to this series following a win, but they have been struggling after the All-Star break. The Braves will start Grant Holmes on the mound, who did not see much playing time this season. The 28-year-old is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA, 21 K, 23.1 IP, and 0.94 WHIP. The Brewers will go with one of their best, as Colin Rea is 9-3 for the season with a 3.60 ERA, 84 K, 110 IP, and 1.21 WHIP. The Braves won the last four games against Milwaukee, and the time has come for the Brewers to end that losing streak.