Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Breakdown and Prediction

July 11, 2024

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Who is winning the series tonight?

The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks are closing out the series at Chase Field on Thursday.

Can the Braves reach the top of the division?

The Atlanta Braves are second in the NL East with a 51-40 record including 22-23 on the road. After winning four consecutive games, they lost last night to the Diamondbacks. The Braves have a 3.40 ERA, a .230 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Marcell Ozuna is the best player on the team, with 100 hits, 55 runs, and 24 home runs.

The Diamondbacks can reach .500 tonight

The Arizona Diamondbacks are third in the NL West with a 46-47 record and 23-23 at home. They have won three of the last five games and are coming off a 7-5 win against the Braves last night. Arizona has a 4.64 ERA, a .261 batting average, a .325 on-base percentage, and 1.35 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Ketel Marte is the best player on the team, with 98 hits, 62 runs, and 18 home runs so far in the season.

Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Braves and 1-4 SU in their last five games against teams from the NL East. Arizona has played over the total run line in 8 of their last 9 games overall, 5 of their last 7 games against Atlanta, 13 of their last 17 home games, and 9 of their last 11 games against teams from the NL. The Braves are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 5-2 SU in their last 7 visits to Arizona, and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL. The Braves have played under the total run line in 5 of their last 6 games played on Thursday and 13 of the last 18 games as favorites.

Prediction and Conclusion

After the Braves won the first two games of the series by 5-4 and 6-2, the Diamondbacks won 7-5 last night to cut the six-game losing streak against Atlanta. They will try to add another one tonight with Brandon Pfaadt on the mound, who is 3-6 for the season with a 4.19 ERA, 100 K, 107.1 IP, and 1.19 WHIP. The Braves will start a much better pitcher tonight as Max Fried is 7-4 for the season with a 3.18 ERA, 88 K, 102 IP, and 1.15 WHIP. Given that and the general roster and form, the Braves are the better team at the moment and will close out the series with a win.