Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek – Breakdown and Prediction

May 18, 2024

Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek: WTA Rome – Final

For the second year in a row, Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will go against each other in the WTA Madrid final.

Aryna Sabalenka Profile

Aryna Sabalenka is currently second in the WTA rankings, and last season she reached the top for the first time in her career. The Belarussian is 25-6 for the season and 11-2 on clay courts.

She is coming off a 7-5, 6-2 semifinal win against Danielle Collins. Earlier in the tournament, Sabalenka defeated Julia Ostapenko, Elina Svitolina, Dayana Yastremska and Katie Volnyets.

Sabalenka won the Australian Open this season, defeating Qinwen Zheng in the final. In the first week of the year, she won the title in Brisbane against Elyna Rybakina in the final.

Iga Swiatek Profile

Iga Swiatek is at the top of the WTA rankings. The Polish are 37-4 for the season and 13-1 on clay.

She is coming off a 6-4, 6-3 semifinal win against Coco Gauff. In the previous round, Swaitek defeated Madison Keys, Angelique Kerber, Yulia Putintseva and Bernarda Pera, all in straight sets.

Swiatek has won three titles already this season, in Indian Wells, Doha and Madrid. She lost in the semifinals in Stuttgart and Dubai.

Head-to-Head – Swiatek leads 8-3

Swiatek vs Sabalenka 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 (2024 WTA Madrid, final)
Sabalenka vs Swiatek 6-4 (2023 World Tennis League)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 6-3, 6-2 (2023 WTA Masters Cup, semifinal)
Sabalenka vs Swiatek 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 (2023 WTA Madrid, final)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 6-3, 6-4 (2023 WTA Stuttgart, final)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 6-1, 6-3 (2022 World Tennis League)
Sabalenka vs Swiatek 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 (2022 WTA Masters Cup, semifinal)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 (2022 US Open, semifinal)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 6-2, 6-2 (2022 WTA Stuttgart, final)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 6-2, 6-3 (2022 WTA Doha, quarterfinal)
Swiatek vs Sabalenka 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 (2021 WTA Masters Cup)

Prediction and Conclusion

This will be the second final between these two players in only two weeks. Swiatek won in Madrid after saving three match points. She has an impressive record against Sabalenka, but the player from Belarus looks ready for revenge. This match is the best that women’s tennis can offer today, and it can easily go either way. What is sure is that both players are in top form, and this will be a long battle that will go over 22.5 games in total.