Arthur Fils vs Matteo Arnaldi – Breakdown and Prediction

Frank Molter/dpa Photo by Icon Sport

Arthur Fils vs Matteo Arnaldi: Olympic Tennis tournament – First round

Two of the best young players on tour Arthur Fils and Matteo Arnaldi will face each other in the opening round of the 2024 Paris Olympics.

 

Arthur Fils Profile

Arthur Fils has the highest rankings of his career, being No. 20 in the world. The Frenchman is 28-17 for the season and 14-9 on clay.

He is coming off the biggest tournament win of his young career as he defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 in the final in Hamburg.

Earlier this season, Fils won the Challenger in Bordeaux and reached the semifinals in Auckland.

At the Paris Olympics, Fils will represent France in men’s doubles with Ugo Humbert.

 

Matteo Arnaldi Profile

Matteo Arnaldi is 40th in the ATP rankings, six spots lower than his career high. The Italian is 20-18 for the season and 9-8 on clay.

Arnaldi is coming off a 7-6, 6-4 loss to Alexandre Muller in the first round of Umag. His best results of the season were in the quarterfinals in Brisbane and Barcelona.

He also reached the round of 16 at the French Open, where he lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas.

 

Head-to-Head Arnaldi leads 4-0

  • Arnaldi vs Fils 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 (2024 French Open, first round)
  • Arnaldi vs Fils 6-3, 6-4 (2024 ATP Miami, first round)
  • Arnaldi vs Fils 3-6, 7-5, 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 (2023 US Open, second round)
  • Arnaldi vs Fils 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 (2023 ATP Madrid, qualifiers)

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both players are on the rise, and while Arthur Fils has been the better overall player, Matteo Arnaldi is the one who has won all four of their previous head-to-head matches. The last one was only a couple of months ago, when the Italian beat Fils in front of his home crowd at the French Open. Now they will face each other again on the same courts, but in the Olympic tournament. Fils is coming off the biggest win of his career and is in much better form than Arnaldi. Given that and the support of the home crowd, we are going with Fils to advance to the second round.