Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

August 24, 2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox: Can the Red Sox stop the D-backs?

The Arizona Diamondbacks are visiting the Boston Red Sox today at Fenway Park.

The Diamondbacks have a promising season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are second in the NL West with a 73-56, including 36-30 on the road. After sweeping the Miami Marlins, they won the opener of the series against the Red Sox. Arizona has a 4.48 ERA, a .258 batting average, a .323 on-base percentage, and 1.34 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Ketel Marte is the best player on the team, with 130 hits, 81 runs, and 30 home runs so far in the season.

The Red Sox have a long way to go

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 67-60 record including 29-33 at home. They have lost 3 of the last 5 games and have split the last ten games. Boston has a 4.14 ERA, a .244 batting average, a .308 on-base percentage, and 1.26 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team with 155 hits, and 89 runs while Rafael Devers leads the team with 27 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Red Sox have won 33 of the 60 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Boston is 31-25 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline. Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 126 games with a total this season. The Red Sox are 57-69 ATS in their 126 games with a spread this season. The Diamondbacks have won in 30 of the 62 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year. Arizona has a win-loss record of 29-31 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year. Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 129 chances this season. The Diamondbacks are 66-62 against the spread in their 128 games that had a posted line this season.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in great form and are the fourth team in the NL standings. With a 92.9% chance of making the playoffs, they are in a much better situation than the Red Sox, who are at 35.2. The Diamondbacks won the series opener 12-2, which is their second consecutive win over the Red Sox after losing the previous three games. The Diamondbacks will look for their fifth straight win with Zac Gallen, who is 9-6 for the season with a 3.85 ERA, 102 K, 110 IP, and 1.32 WHIP. The Red Sox will start Kutter Crawford, who is 8-10 for the season with a 4.25 ERA, 133 K, 142 IP, and 1.09 WHIP. The Red Sox will definitely be more competitive than last night, but the Diamondbacks will win again.