Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi – Breakdown and Prediction

August 11, 2024

Andrey Rublev vs Matteo Arnaldi: ATP Montreal – Quarterfinal

Andrey Rublev will take on Matteo Arnaldi in the quarterfinal of ATP Montreal.

Andrey Rublev Profile

Andrey Rublev is eighth in the ATP rankings, three spots lower than his career high. The Russian is 33-15 for the season and 18-6 on hard surface.

Rublev is coming off a 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 win over world No. 1 Jannik Sinner in the round of 16. Previously in the tournament, Rublev defeated Brandon Nakashima and Tomas Martin Etcheverry in straight sets.

Last week in Washington, he lost in the quarterfinal to Frances Tiafoe, 6-4, 7-6.

He won two titles this season in Hong Kong and Madrid.

This is his third appearance in Montreal, and this is the furthest he has gone.

Matteo Arnaldi Profile

Matteo Arnaldi is 46th in the rankings and his career high was No. 34 in the world. The Italian is 25-19 for the season and 14-8 on hard.

Arnaldi is coming off a 6-4, 7-5 win over Kei Nishikori in the round of 16. Previously, he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Karen Khachanov and Mackenzie McDonald.

This is his fourth quarterfinal of the season after he reached the same stage in Turin, Barcelona and Brisbane.

This is his first appearance in Montreal.

Head-to-Head Tied 1-1

Arnaldi vs Rublev 7-6, 6-2, 6-4 (2024 French Open, third round)
Rublev vs Arnaldi 7-5, 6-3 (2023 ATP Vienna, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

Andrey Rublev is coming off the biggest win of the season, defeating world No. 1 Jannik Sinner. Now, he is going against Matteo Arnaldi, who won their match at the Roland Garros in straight sets. The Italian is having a breakthrough season, but he has yet to reach a semifinal at any level this year. This is a huge opportunity for Rublev to make a shot at winning the title and to payback Arnaldi for the rough loss in Paris. This will be a tough match, and we go with over 22.5 games in total.