Alexander Zverev vs David Goffin – Breakdown and Prediction

October 9, 2024

Alexander Zverev vs David Goffin: ATP Shanghai – Round of 16

Former finalist Alexander Zverev will take on David Goffin in the round of 16 at the ATP Shanghai.

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is back at the second place in the ATP rankings this week. The German is 59-18 for the season and 29-9 on hard surface.

Zverev is coming off a 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 win over Tallon Griekspoor in the previous round and defeated Mattia Bellucci in the first match in Shanghai.

Zverev won the title in Rome this season and lost the finals at the French Open and in Hamburg.

This is his sixth appearance in Shanghai and his best result was reaching the final in 2019 when he lost to Daniil Medvedev.

David Goffin Profile

Former world No. 7 David Goffin is currently 66th in the rankings. The Belgian is 43-24 for the season and 23-10 on hard surface.

Goffin is coming off a 1-6, 6-3, 7-5 win over Marcos Giron after previously defeating Lorenzo Musetti and James Duckworth.

His best result this season is winning the title at the Ilkley Challenger.

This is his fifth appearance in Shanghai and his best result was the 2016 quarterfinal when he lost to Andy Murray.

Head-to-Head Tied 4-4

Zverev vs Goffin 7-6, 6-2, 6-2 (2024 French Open, second round)
Zverev vs Goffin 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 (2023 ATP Rome, second round)
Goffin vs Zverev 6-4, 7-6 (2021 ATP Monte Carlo, round of 16)
Goffin vs Zverev 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 (2019 ATP Halle, quarterfinal)
Zverev vs Goffin 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 (2018 ATP Rome, quarterfinal)
Goffin vs Zverev 6-3, 6-3 (2018 Hopman Cup)
Zverev vs Goffin 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 (2016 ATP Munich, quarterfinal)
Goffin vs Zverev 6-3, 6-2 (2014 Mons Challenger)

Prediction and Conclusion

It’s been a while since David Goffin has come this far on a tournament of this level, and the match against Alexander Zverev may be his definite return in the top company. The Belgian lost the opening sets in his last two matches but was able to come back, which is a proof of his great state of mind and physical shape. Zverev was also pushed to the limit in the last one, playing the decisive tiebreak, and is going into this one as a major favorite. Goffin has beaten Zverev four times before, so we go with him to cover the +4.5-point spread in this one.